Tigres UANL 0–0 Atletico San Luis: Result & Stats

Tigres UANL

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Atletico San Luis

12/2/2024

Liga MX · Apertura - Quarter-finalsEstadio Universitario

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 124+ matches

Tigres UANL54%

×Draw23%

Atletico San Luis22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tigres UANLExpected goals in this matchAtletico San Luis

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.78

1.05

Tigres UANL

1.78

Atletico San Luis

1.05

Tigres UANL creates 70% more chances

Season form · 161 home / 124 away

1.83

creates per match

1.19

0.91

allows per match

1.73

creates per match

Tigres UANL

1.83

Atletico San Luis

1.19

allows per match

Tigres UANL

0.91

Atletico San Luis

1.73

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tigres UANL+0.00on par

Atletico San Luis+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tigres UANL ↓

Atletico San Luis →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Tigres UANL or draw

78%

Tigres UANL or Atletico San Luis

77%

Draw or Atletico San Luis

46%

Winning margin

Tigres UANL wins by 2+

30%

Atletico San Luis wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Tigres UANL 1+ goals

83%

Tigres UANL 2+ goals

53%

Tigres UANL 3+ goals

26%

Atletico San Luis 1+ goals

65%

Atletico San Luis 2+ goals

28%

Atletico San Luis 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Tigres UANL (draw refunded)

71%

Atletico San Luis (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tigres UANL at home — creates 1.83, concedes 0.91 · 161 matches

Atletico San Luis away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.73 · 124 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tigres UANL attack 1.83 + Atletico San Luis defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.78

Atletico San Luis attack 1.19 + Tigres UANL defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Tigres UANL scores more

54%

level

23%

Atletico San Luis scores more

22%

Tigres UANL at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Tigres UANL will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

A. Sánchez

Atletico San Luis · G

10.0

Match Events

54'

André-Pierre Gignac

64'

D. Lainez← O. Herrera

64'

M. Flores← S. Córdova

69'

André-Pierre GignacMissed penalty

76'

U. Antuna← J. Brunetta

77'

N. Ibáñez← Rafael Carioca

80'

Vitinho

82'

Yan Phillipe← Vitinho

84'

J. Domínguez← C. Piccini

86'

Yan Phillipe

90'

J. Vigón← F. Gorriarán

90+1'

D. Guillén← A. Cruz

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

TigresAtletico

Overview

59%Possession41%

29Total Shots5

6Corners1

17Fouls13

Shots

29Total Shots5

10On Target5

11Off Target0

8Blocked0

20Inside Box2

9Outside Box3

Passing

59%Possession41%

532Total Passes399

452Accurate Passes309

85%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

5Saves10

Discipline

17Fouls13

1Yellow Cards2

4Offsides0

Match Recap: Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis

Tigres UANL and Atletico San Luis drew 0-0 in Liga MX on December 2, 2024.

Tigres UANL controlled possession (59%) and registered 29 shots to 5.

The match was played at Estadio Universitario in San Nicolás de los Garza.

Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis — Liga MX 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis