Tennis Borussia 8–0 Rostocker FC: Result & Stats

Tennis Borussia

FT

8 – 0

HT: 6 – 0

Rostocker FC

C. Ramadan 73', 5'

J. Dethlefs 50'

T. Oschmann 34', 10'

M. Sey 25'

V. Grobstich 18' (OG)

T. Biyikli 12'

5/31/2025

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · Nordost-Nord - 30Mommsenstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Tennis Borussia61%

×Draw18%

Rostocker FC21%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tennis BorussiaExpected goals in this matchRostocker FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.73

1.58

Tennis Borussia

2.73

Rostocker FC

1.58

Tennis Borussia creates 73% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 67 away

2.20

creates per match

1.40

1.77

allows per match

3.25

creates per match

Tennis Borussia

2.20

Rostocker FC

1.40

allows per match

Tennis Borussia

1.77

Rostocker FC

3.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tennis Borussia+0.00on par

Rostocker FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over80
Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes74
No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tennis Borussia ↓

Rostocker FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–04%

1–16%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–15%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

93%7%2.5

80%20%3.5

62%38%4.5

42%58%

Double chance

Tennis Borussia or draw

79%

Tennis Borussia or Rostocker FC

82%

Draw or Rostocker FC

39%

Winning margin

Tennis Borussia wins by 2+

41%

Rostocker FC wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Tennis Borussia 1+ goals

93%

Tennis Borussia 2+ goals

75%

Tennis Borussia 3+ goals

50%

Rostocker FC 1+ goals

79%

Rostocker FC 2+ goals

47%

Rostocker FC 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Tennis Borussia (draw refunded)

74%

Rostocker FC (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

68%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tennis Borussia at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.77 · 44 matches

Rostocker FC away — creates 1.40, concedes 3.25 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tennis Borussia attack 2.20 + Rostocker FC defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.73

Rostocker FC attack 1.40 + Tennis Borussia defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Tennis Borussia scores more

61%

level

18%

Rostocker FC scores more

21%

Tennis Borussia at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Tennis Borussia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'

C. Ramadan

10'

T. Oschmann

12'

T. Biyikli

18'

V. GrobstichOwn goal

25'

M. Sey

34'

T. Oschmann

50'

J. Dethlefs

73'

C. Ramadan

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff