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Tatran Prešov vs Liptovský Mikuláš — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Tatran Prešov
Tatran Prešov
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 2
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
1/31/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Tatran Prešov61%
×Draw19%
Liptovský Mikuláš19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tatran Prešov
2.37
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.27

Tatran Prešov creates 87% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 16 away

creates per match

Tatran Prešov
2.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.75

allows per match

Tatran Prešov
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.13

finishing

Tatran Prešov+0.00on par
Liptovský Mikuláš+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tatran Prešov ↓

Liptovský Mikuláš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Tatran Prešov or draw
81%
Tatran Prešov or Liptovský Mikuláš
81%
Draw or Liptovský Mikuláš
39%

Winning margin

Tatran Prešov wins by 2+
40%
Liptovský Mikuláš wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Tatran Prešov 1+ goals
91%
Tatran Prešov 2+ goals
68%
Tatran Prešov 3+ goals
42%
Liptovský Mikuláš 1+ goals
72%
Liptovský Mikuláš 2+ goals
36%
Liptovský Mikuláš 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Tatran Prešov (draw refunded)
76%
Liptovský Mikuláš (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tatran Prešov at home — creates 2.60, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Liptovský Mikuláš away — creates 1.75, concedes 2.13 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tatran Prešov attack 2.60 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.37

Liptovský Mikuláš attack 1.75 + Tatran Prešov defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Tatran Prešov scores more
61%
level
19%
Liptovský Mikuláš scores more
19%

Tatran Prešov at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Tatran Prešov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Tatran Prešov vs Liptovský Mikuláš

Tatran Prešov and Liptovský Mikuláš drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 31, 2026.