Taraz 6–0 Yassy Turkistan: Result & Stats

Taraz

FT

6 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Yassy Turkistan

M. Zhambyl 90'

D. Andyrmash 88'

A. Mukanbetzhanov 84'

M. Zhumat 52', 45'

D. Lesbek 19'

8/8/2025

1. Division · Round 17Central Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

Taraz61%

×Draw19%

Yassy Turkistan20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TarazExpected goals in this matchYassy Turkistan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.41

1.30

Taraz

2.41

Yassy Turkistan

1.30

Taraz creates 85% more chances

Season form · 48 home / 52 away

1.94

creates per match

1.35

1.25

allows per match

2.87

creates per match

Taraz

1.94

Yassy Turkistan

1.35

allows per match

Taraz

1.25

Yassy Turkistan

2.87

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Taraz+0.00on par

Yassy Turkistan+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Taraz ↓

Yassy Turkistan →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–18%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–18%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

Taraz or draw

80%

Taraz or Yassy Turkistan

81%

Draw or Yassy Turkistan

39%

Winning margin

Taraz wins by 2+

40%

Yassy Turkistan wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Taraz 1+ goals

91%

Taraz 2+ goals

69%

Taraz 3+ goals

43%

Yassy Turkistan 1+ goals

73%

Yassy Turkistan 2+ goals

37%

Yassy Turkistan 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Taraz (draw refunded)

76%

Yassy Turkistan (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Taraz at home — creates 1.94, concedes 1.25 · 48 matches

Yassy Turkistan away — creates 1.35, concedes 2.87 · 52 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Taraz attack 1.94 + Yassy Turkistan defence 2.87 → ÷2 → 2.41

Yassy Turkistan attack 1.35 + Taraz defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Taraz scores more

61%

level

19%

Yassy Turkistan scores more

20%

Taraz at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Taraz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

19'

20'

20'

32'

45'

52'

63'

D. Andyrmash← M. Zhumat

63'

M. Zhambyl← S. Kemelbek

67'

I. Khakimov

69'

M. Zhaksymbetov← O. Adil

73'

I. Taubay← K. Sabirzhanov

78'

M. Almakhan← E. Zhaksylyk

80'

A. Omey← A. Erden

80'

N. Askerbek← E. Toybekov

82'

K. Kuatbekuly

84'

A. Mukanbetzhanov

88'

D. Andyrmash

90+2'

A. Seydakhmet← B. Barlyk

90'

M. Zhambyl↳ N. Askerbek

Taraz

Yassy

16

▼

Barlyk

11

▼

Sabirzhan

2

Omirbek

8

Isaev

17

▼

20

33

70

87

91

21

27

4

A

Nuraly

6

⚽

Lesbek

8

⚽2

▼

Zhumat

11

▼

Adil

12

Umirzakov

17

⚽

Mukanbetz

21

▼

Toybekov

23

A

▼

Erden

31

▼

Kemelbek

33

Zhaksylyk

Manager: N. Mirzabaev

63'▲D. Andyrmash←▼M. Zhumat

63'▲M. Zhambyl←▼S. Kemelbek

69'▲M. Zhaksymbetov←▼O. Adil

80'▲A. Omey←▼A. Erden

80'▲N. Askerbek←▼E. Toybekov

Taraz substitutes

82Omey74Mergenbaev71Andyrmash22Zhaksymbetov20Askerbek9Khaytmuratov7Zhambyl3Zhanybekuly1Rakhmetulla47Derzap

73'▲I. Taubay←▼K. Sabirzhanov

78'▲M. Almakhan←▼E. Zhaksylyk

90+2'▲A. Seydakhmet←▼B. Barlyk

Yassy Turkistan substitutes

45Seydakhmet44Taubay28Almakhan22Seydakhmet14Murat

Match Recap: Taraz vs Yassy Turkistan

Taraz beat Yassy Turkistan 6-0 in 1. Division on August 8, 2025.

Goals: D. Lesbek (19'), M. Zhumat (45', 52'), A. Mukanbetzhanov (84'), D. Andyrmash (88'), M. Zhambyl (90').

The match was played at Central Stadium in Taraz.

Taraz vs Yassy Turkistan — 1. Division 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Taraz vs Yassy Turkistan