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Talleres Cordoba vs San Martin S.J. — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Talleres Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
San Martin S.J.
San Martin S.J.
8/19/2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 5Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Talleres Cordoba44%
×Draw33%
San Martin S.J.24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Talleres Cordoba
1.05
San Martin S.J.
0.69

Talleres Cordoba creates 52% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 8 away

creates per match

Talleres Cordoba
0.98
San Martin S.J.
0.67

allows per match

Talleres Cordoba
0.71
San Martin S.J.
1.12

finishing

Talleres Cordoba-0.10scores less
San Martin S.J.-0.17scores less

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Cordoba ↓

San Martin S.J. →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–018%
0–112%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–113%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–17%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
52%48%2.5
25%75%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Talleres Cordoba or draw
76%
Talleres Cordoba or San Martin S.J.
67%
Draw or San Martin S.J.
56%

Winning margin

Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+
18%
San Martin S.J. wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals
65%
Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals
28%
Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals
9%
San Martin S.J. 1+ goals
50%
San Martin S.J. 2+ goals
15%
San Martin S.J. 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)
65%
San Martin S.J. (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Cordoba at home — creates 0.98, concedes 0.71 · 17 matches

San Martin S.J. away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.12 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Cordoba attack 0.98 + San Martin S.J. defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.05

San Martin S.J. attack 0.67 + Talleres Cordoba defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Talleres Cordoba scores more
44%
level
33%
San Martin S.J. scores more
24%

Talleres Cordoba at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Talleres Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1
M. BorgognoSan Martin S.J.San Martin S.J. · G
9.2

Match Events

4'
Valentin Depietri
36'
Horacio Tijanovich
46'
M. Iacobellis← H. Tijanovich
54'
Matias Galarza
59'
N. Bustos← R. Botta
73'
J. Mosqueira← M. A. Galarza
73'
E. Reynoso← L. Sequeira
73'
I. Alastra← Rick
78'
L. T. Escalante← Pablo Garcia
78'
F. Toloza← I. Maestro
90+1'
A. Molina← S. Salle
90+4'
T. Fernandez← A. Portillo

Possession

64%Talleres

Shots

16Talleres

Pass accuracy

55%Talleres

Statistics

TalleresSan
Overview
64%Possession36%
16Total Shots9
1.30Expected Goals (xG)0.61
11Corners5
15Fouls16
Shots
16Total Shots9
8On Target3
8Off Target4
0Blocked2
10Inside Box5
6Outside Box4
Passing
64%Possession36%
450Total Passes257
377Accurate Passes180
84%Pass Accuracy70%
Goalkeeping
3Saves7
1.76Goals Prevented1.76
Discipline
15Fouls16
2Yellow Cards1
2Offsides3

Liga Profesional Argentina: Talleres Cordoba 0–0 San Martin S.J.

Talleres Cordoba and San Martin S.J. drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on August 19, 2025.

Talleres Cordoba controlled possession (64%) and registered 16 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes in Cordoba.