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Talleres Cordoba vs Platense — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Talleres Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Platense
Platense
U. Ortegoza 20'
11/8/2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 15Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Talleres Cordoba45%
×Draw31%
Platense24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Talleres Cordoba
1.16
Platense
0.76

Talleres Cordoba creates 53% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 13 away

creates per match

Talleres Cordoba
0.98
Platense
0.80

allows per match

Talleres Cordoba
0.71
Platense
1.33

finishing

Talleres Cordoba-0.10scores less
Platense+0.28scores more

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Cordoba ↓

Platense →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–111%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Talleres Cordoba or draw
76%
Talleres Cordoba or Platense
69%
Draw or Platense
55%

Winning margin

Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+
19%
Platense wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals
69%
Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals
32%
Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals
11%
Platense 1+ goals
53%
Platense 2+ goals
18%
Platense 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)
65%
Platense (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Cordoba at home — creates 0.98, concedes 0.71 · 17 matches

Platense away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.33 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Cordoba attack 0.98 + Platense defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.16

Platense attack 0.80 + Talleres Cordoba defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Talleres Cordoba scores more
45%
level
31%
Platense scores more
24%

Talleres Cordoba at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Talleres Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19
J. L. PalominoTalleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba · D
7.9

Match Events

20'
U. Ortegoza↳ L. Angulo
38'
Rodrigo Herrera
44'
Camilo Portilla
46'
J. Saborido← R. L. Marquez De Meneses
46'
S. Toloza← B. Barros Schelotto
59'
Augusto Lotti
61'
F. Baldassarra← R. Herrera
61'
M. Tucker← A. Lotti
62'
Augusto Schott
64'
F. Girotti← J. Portilla
66'
Luis Miguel Angulo
75'
V. Depietri← L. Angulo
83'
N. Orsini← G. Mainero
84'
M. Navarro← Rick
84'
J. Mosqueira← M. Caceres
90+3'
Joaquin Mosqueira

Possession

59%Talleres

Shots

13Talleres

Pass accuracy

53%Talleres

Statistics

TalleresPlatense
Overview
59%Possession41%
13Total Shots10
1.77Expected Goals (xG)0.72
6Corners4
15Fouls5
Shots
13Total Shots10
4On Target1
8Off Target7
1Blocked2
9Inside Box9
4Outside Box1
Passing
59%Possession41%
458Total Passes308
367Accurate Passes220
80%Pass Accuracy71%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0.76Goals Prevented0.76
Discipline
15Fouls5
4Yellow Cards2
4Offsides1

Liga Profesional Argentina: Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Platense

Talleres Cordoba beat Platense 1-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on November 8, 2025.

Goals: U. Ortegoza (20').

Talleres Cordoba controlled possession (59%) and registered 13 shots to 10.

The match was played at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes in Cordoba.