Platense 2–4 Talleres Cordoba: Result & Stats

Platense

FT

2 – 4

HT: 0 – 3

Talleres Cordoba

N. Servetto 80'

N. Castro 49'

M. Santos 64', 14'

J. Portillo 42'

F. Pizzini 10'

2/25/2023

Liga Profesional Argentina · Round 5Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 17+ matches

Platense44%

×Draw31%

Talleres Cordoba25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PlatenseExpected goals in this matchTalleres Cordoba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.16

0.80

Platense

1.16

Talleres Cordoba

0.80

Platense creates 45% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 18 away

1.05

creates per match

0.94

0.67

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Platense

1.05

Talleres Cordoba

0.94

allows per match

Platense

0.67

Talleres Cordoba

1.26

-0.34scores less than expected

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Platense-0.34scores less

Talleres Cordoba+0.00on par

Total goals

Under69
Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Platense ↓

Talleres Cordoba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–111%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

58%42%2.5

31%69%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Platense or draw

75%

Platense or Talleres Cordoba

69%

Draw or Talleres Cordoba

56%

Winning margin

Platense wins by 2+

19%

Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Platense 1+ goals

69%

Platense 2+ goals

32%

Platense 3+ goals

11%

Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals

55%

Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals

19%

Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Platense (draw refunded)

64%

Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

25%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Platense at home — creates 1.05, concedes 0.67 · 17 matches

Talleres Cordoba away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.26 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Platense attack 1.05 + Talleres Cordoba defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.16

Talleres Cordoba attack 0.94 + Platense defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Platense scores more

44%

level

31%

Talleres Cordoba scores more

25%

Platense at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Platense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

M. Santos

Talleres Cordoba · F

9.3

Match Events

10'

F. Pizzini↳ M. Santos

14'

M. Santos↳ R. Garro

42'

J. Portillo↳ M. Santos

45+3'

Juan Infante

46'

M. Quiroga← F. Baldassarra

46'

D. Valoyes← R. Sosa

49'

N. Castro↳ J. Infante

64'

M. Santos↳ F. Pizzini

67'

Vicente Taborda

71'

C. Oliva← R. Villagra

71'

N. Bustos← M. Santos

75'

I. Vázquez← M. Jacquet

75'

M. Zalazar← V. Taborda

75'

A. Alonso← J. Cacciabue

80'

N. Servetto↳ M. Quiroga

83'

V. Depietri← R. Garro

86'

Alan Franco

90+1'

V. Fernández← F. Pizzini

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PlatenseTalleres

Overview

51%Possession49%

14Total Shots11

4Corners2

12Fouls17

Shots

14Total Shots11

8On Target7

5Off Target2

1Blocked2

6Inside Box9

8Outside Box2

Passing

51%Possession49%

445Total Passes451

333Accurate Passes349

75%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

Discipline

12Fouls17

2Yellow Cards1

0Offsides1

Match Recap: Platense vs Talleres Cordoba

Talleres Cordoba beat Platense 4-2 in Liga Profesional Argentina on February 25, 2023.

Goals: F. Pizzini (10'), M. Santos (14', 64'), J. Portillo (42'), N. Castro (49'), N. Servetto (80').

Platense controlled possession (51%) and registered 14 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López in Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

Platense vs Talleres Cordoba — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Platense vs Talleres Cordoba