Talleres Cordoba 2–1 Platense: Result & Stats

Talleres Cordoba

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Platense

A. Martínez 70'

B. Barticciotto 7'

F. Minerva 45+1'

6/14/2024

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 5Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Talleres Cordoba45%

×Draw31%

Platense24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Talleres CordobaExpected goals in this matchPlatense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.16

0.76

Talleres Cordoba

1.16

Platense

0.76

Talleres Cordoba creates 53% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 13 away

0.98

creates per match

0.80

0.71

allows per match

1.33

creates per match

Talleres Cordoba

0.98

Platense

0.80

allows per match

Talleres Cordoba

0.71

Platense

1.33

-0.10scores less than expected

finishing

+0.28scores more than expected

finishing

Talleres Cordoba-0.10scores less

Platense+0.28scores more

Total goals

Under70
Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No63
Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Cordoba ↓

Platense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–015%

0–111%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

57%43%2.5

30%70%3.5

13%87%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Talleres Cordoba or draw

76%

Talleres Cordoba or Platense

69%

Draw or Platense

55%

Winning margin

Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+

19%

Platense wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals

69%

Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals

32%

Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals

11%

Platense 1+ goals

53%

Platense 2+ goals

18%

Platense 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)

65%

Platense (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Cordoba at home — creates 0.98, concedes 0.71 · 17 matches

Platense away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.33 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Cordoba attack 0.98 + Platense defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.16

Platense attack 0.80 + Talleres Cordoba defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Talleres Cordoba scores more

45%

level

31%

Platense scores more

24%

Talleres Cordoba at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Talleres Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

32

B. Barticciotto

Talleres Cordoba · F

7.9

Match Events

7'

B. Barticciotto↳ R. Botta

12'

Lucas Suárez

32'

Leonel Picco

45+4'

Blás Riveros

45+1'

F. Minerva↳ A. Ocampo

53'

B. Rivero← L. Picco

60'

G. Albarracín← M. Galarza

64'

F. Russo← F. Minerva

70'

A. Martínez↳ B. Barticciotto

76'

R. Ruíz Rodríguez← B. Barticciotto

77'

L. Angulo← A. Ocampo

78'

G. Hachen← I. Gómez

78'

M. Urruti← R. Martínez

83'

J. Portilla← A. Martínez

90+2'

Juan Cozzani

90+1'

Juan CozzaniCard upgrade

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

TalleresPlatense

Overview

52%Possession48%

14Total Shots9

1.00Expected Goals (xG)0.32

3Corners4

8Fouls11

Shots

14Total Shots9

6On Target2

7Off Target7

1Blocked0

6Inside Box6

8Outside Box3

Passing

52%Possession48%

415Total Passes381

346Accurate Passes301

83%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

-0.95Goals Prevented-0.95

Discipline

8Fouls11

2Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards1

3Offsides1