Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

SV Elversberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig — 2. Bundesliga 2018

SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig
D. Mokwa Ntusu 75'
L. Petkov 23', 5'
A. Opoku 35'
2/21/20262. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga · Round 23Waldstadion Kaiserlinde

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

SV Elversberg53%
×Draw25%
Eintracht Braunschweig23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SV Elversberg
1.61
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.96

SV Elversberg creates 68% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 12 away

creates per match

SV Elversberg
1.80
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.80

allows per match

SV Elversberg
1.12
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.42

finishing

SV Elversberg+0.42scores more
Eintracht Braunschweig-0.05on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Elversberg ↓

Eintracht Braunschweig →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

SV Elversberg or draw
77%
SV Elversberg or Eintracht Braunschweig
75%
Draw or Eintracht Braunschweig
47%

Winning margin

SV Elversberg wins by 2+
28%
Eintracht Braunschweig wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

SV Elversberg 1+ goals
80%
SV Elversberg 2+ goals
48%
SV Elversberg 3+ goals
22%
Eintracht Braunschweig 1+ goals
62%
Eintracht Braunschweig 2+ goals
25%
Eintracht Braunschweig 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

SV Elversberg (draw refunded)
70%
Eintracht Braunschweig (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Elversberg at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.12 · 9 matches

Eintracht Braunschweig away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.42 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Elversberg attack 1.80 + Eintracht Braunschweig defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.61

Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.80 + SV Elversberg defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

SV Elversberg scores more
53%
level
25%
Eintracht Braunschweig scores more
23%

SV Elversberg at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "SV Elversberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25
L. PetkovSV ElversbergSV Elversberg · M
10.0

Match Events

5'
L. Petkov↳ A. Conde
23'
L. Petkov↳ J. Gyamerah
35'
A. Opoku↳ J. Gomez
46'
L. Bell Bell← F. Di Michele Sanchez
46'
S. Sane← R. Heusser
46'
E. Yardimci← J. Mijatovic
61'
G. Ranos← A. Opoku
68'
L. Gunther← N. Mickelson
68'
J. Malanga← I. Pherai
71'
Max Marie
72'
Tom Zimmerschied
75'
D. Mokwa Ntusu↳ L. Petkov
79'
F. Keidel← D. Mokwa Ntusu
79'
L. Schnellbacher← J. Gyamerah
80'
K. Izekor← F. Flick
90'
C. Sickinger← A. Conde

Possession

59%SV

Shots

12SV

Pass accuracy

53%SV

Statistics

SVEintracht
Overview
59%Possession41%
12Total Shots7
2.41Expected Goals (xG)0.55
4Corners0
7Fouls12
Shots
12Total Shots7
4On Target4
4Off Target0
4Blocked3
12Inside Box6
0Outside Box1
Passing
59%Possession41%
491Total Passes351
415Accurate Passes268
85%Pass Accuracy76%
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
-0.99Goals Prevented-0.99
Discipline
7Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides1

SV Elversberg 3 – 1 Eintracht Braunschweig

SV Elversberg beat Eintracht Braunschweig 3-1 in 2. Bundesliga on February 21, 2026.

Goals: L. Petkov (5', 23'), A. Opoku (35'), D. Mokwa Ntusu (75').

SV Elversberg controlled possession (59%) and registered 12 shots to 7.

The match was played at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde in Spiesen-Elversberg.