Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Altona 93 — League #84 2026

SV Drochtersen/Assel
SV Drochtersen/Assel
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Altona 93
Altona 93
J. Wulff 85'
H. Hyseni 45'
M. Nagel 37'
B. El-Nemr 74'
4/26/2026League #84League #84 · North - 31Kehdinger Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

SV Drochtersen/Assel58%
×Draw22%
Altona 9321%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SV Drochtersen/Assel
2.00
Altona 93
1.11

SV Drochtersen/Assel creates 80% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

creates per match

SV Drochtersen/Assel
2.00
Altona 93
1.22

allows per match

SV Drochtersen/Assel
1.00
Altona 93
2.00

finishing

SV Drochtersen/Assel+0.00on par
Altona 93+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Drochtersen/Assel ↓

Altona 93 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

SV Drochtersen/Assel or draw
79%
SV Drochtersen/Assel or Altona 93
78%
Draw or Altona 93
42%

Winning margin

SV Drochtersen/Assel wins by 2+
34%
Altona 93 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

SV Drochtersen/Assel 1+ goals
86%
SV Drochtersen/Assel 2+ goals
59%
SV Drochtersen/Assel 3+ goals
32%
Altona 93 1+ goals
67%
Altona 93 2+ goals
30%
Altona 93 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

SV Drochtersen/Assel (draw refunded)
74%
Altona 93 (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Drochtersen/Assel at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

Altona 93 away — creates 1.22, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Drochtersen/Assel attack 2.00 + Altona 93 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.00

Altona 93 attack 1.22 + SV Drochtersen/Assel defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

SV Drochtersen/Assel scores more
58%
level
22%
Altona 93 scores more
21%

SV Drochtersen/Assel at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "SV Drochtersen/Assel will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

37'
M. Nagel
45'
H. Hyseni
74'
B. El-Nemr
85'
J. Wulff
SV
Altona
O. Ioannou
Manager: O. Ioannou
A. Bergmann
Manager: A. Bergmann

Match Recap: SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Altona 93

SV Drochtersen/Assel beat Altona 93 3-1 in League #84 on April 26, 2026.

Goals: M. Nagel (37'), H. Hyseni (45'), B. El-Nemr (74'), J. Wulff (85').

The match was played at Kehdinger Stadion in Drochtersen.