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SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Altona 93 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SV Drochtersen/Assel
SV Drochtersen/Assel
CANC
19:00
Altona 93
Altona 93
1/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Rasenplatz Assel

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

SV Drochtersen/Assel48%
×Draw20%
Altona 9331%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SV Drochtersen/Assel
2.25
Altona 93
1.79

SV Drochtersen/Assel creates 26% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

creates per match

SV Drochtersen/Assel
3.00
Altona 93
2.50

allows per match

SV Drochtersen/Assel
1.09
Altona 93
1.50

finishing

SV Drochtersen/Assel+0.00on par
Altona 93+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Drochtersen/Assel ↓

Altona 93 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

SV Drochtersen/Assel or draw
69%
SV Drochtersen/Assel or Altona 93
80%
Draw or Altona 93
52%

Winning margin

SV Drochtersen/Assel wins by 2+
29%
Altona 93 wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

SV Drochtersen/Assel 1+ goals
89%
SV Drochtersen/Assel 2+ goals
65%
SV Drochtersen/Assel 3+ goals
39%
Altona 93 1+ goals
83%
Altona 93 2+ goals
53%
Altona 93 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

SV Drochtersen/Assel (draw refunded)
61%
Altona 93 (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Drochtersen/Assel at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.09 · 11 matches

Altona 93 away — creates 2.50, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Drochtersen/Assel attack 3.00 + Altona 93 defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 2.25

Altona 93 attack 2.50 + SV Drochtersen/Assel defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

SV Drochtersen/Assel scores more
48%
level
20%
Altona 93 scores more
31%

SV Drochtersen/Assel at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "SV Drochtersen/Assel will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: SV Drochtersen/Assel host Altona 93

January 10, 2024: SV Drochtersen/Assel take on Altona 93 in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

SV Drochtersen/Assel host Altona 93 at Rasenplatz Assel.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.