Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Start vs ODD Ballklubb — Eliteserien 2026

Start
Start
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 2
ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
T. Lauritsen 85'
T. Børven 66', 49' (pen)
V. Hoff 12'
M. Kaasa 3'
6/27/2020EliteserienEliteserien · Round 4Sparebanken Sør Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Start51%
×Draw23%
ODD Ballklubb25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Start
1.78
ODD Ballklubb
1.18

Start creates 51% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 16 away

creates per match

Start
1.33
ODD Ballklubb
0.94

allows per match

Start
1.42
ODD Ballklubb
2.22

finishing

Start-0.33scores less
ODD Ballklubb+0.12scores more

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Start ↓

ODD Ballklubb →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Start or draw
75%
Start or ODD Ballklubb
77%
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
49%

Winning margin

Start wins by 2+
28%
ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Start 1+ goals
83%
Start 2+ goals
53%
Start 3+ goals
26%
ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
69%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
33%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Start (draw refunded)
67%
ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Start at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.42 · 6 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 0.94, concedes 2.22 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Start attack 1.33 + ODD Ballklubb defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.78

ODD Ballklubb attack 0.94 + Start defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Start scores more
51%
level
23%
ODD Ballklubb scores more
25%

Start at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Start will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5
B. RisaODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb · D
8.1

Match Events

3'
M. Kaasa
12'
V. Hoff↳ F. Jørgensen
14'
Afeez Aremu Olalekan
46'
E. Segberg← E. Marković
48'
Eirik Wichne
49'
T. BørvenPenalty
59'
Espen Ruud
59'
T. Lauritsen← M. Kaasa
60'
K. Skaanes← K. Kabran
60'
M. Ugland← A. Aremu
66'
S. Sjøkvist← M. Bringaker
66'
T. Børven↳ E. Ruud
73'
B. Njie← J. Kitolano
73'
F. Nordkvelle← O. Ugwuadu
75'
V. Bergan← J. Jørgensen
85'
T. Lauritsen
88'
B. Mæland← O. Bjørtuft
88'
M. Larsen← F. Jørgensen

Possession

38%Start

Shots

10Start

Pass accuracy

47%Start

Statistics

StartODD
Overview
38%Possession62%
10Total Shots17
5Corners6
14Fouls8
Shots
10Total Shots17
3On Target9
5Off Target5
2Blocked3
5Inside Box14
5Outside Box3
Passing
38%Possession62%
320Total Passes524
236Accurate Passes440
74%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
Discipline
14Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
1Offsides1

Eliteserien: Start 0–5 ODD Ballklubb

ODD Ballklubb beat Start 5-0 in Eliteserien on June 27, 2020.

Goals: M. Kaasa (3'), V. Hoff (12'), T. Børven (49' pen, 66'), T. Lauritsen (85').

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (62%) and registered 17 shots to 10.

The match was played at Sparebanken Sør Arena in Kristiansand.