Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

ODD Ballklubb vs Start — Eliteserien 2026

ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Start
Start
J. Kitolano 64'
K. Kabran 82'
E. Schulze 51'
11/22/2020EliteserienEliteserien · Round 25Skagerak Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

ODD Ballklubb45%
×Draw25%
Start30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ODD Ballklubb
1.58
Start
1.23

ODD Ballklubb creates 28% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 8 away

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.35
Start
0.90

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.55
Start
1.82

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.10scores more
Start+0.10scores more

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Start →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw
70%
ODD Ballklubb or Start
75%
Draw or Start
55%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
23%
Start wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
79%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
47%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
21%
Start 1+ goals
71%
Start 2+ goals
35%
Start 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
60%
Start (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.35, concedes 1.55 · 20 matches

Start away — creates 0.90, concedes 1.82 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.35 + Start defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.58

Start attack 0.90 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more
45%
level
25%
Start scores more
30%

ODD Ballklubb at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "ODD Ballklubb will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7
K. KabranStartStart · F
7.9

Match Events

44'
R. Simovic← E. Rashani
51'
E. Schulze
62'
M. Ramsland← C. Bolaños
64'
Jonas Deumeland
64'
J. Kitolano↳ E. Ruud
72'
T. Lauritsen← F. Nordkvelle
72'
K. Skaanes← E. Schulze
82'
K. Kabran↳ M. Ramsland
86'
O. Ugwuadu← V. Rodić
86'
K. Egell-Johnsen← J. Kitolano
86'
V. Bergan← E. Marković
90'
Vebjørn Hoff
90'
Martin Ramsland
90'
Mohamed El Makrini

Possession

51%ODD

Shots

16ODD

Pass accuracy

52%ODD

Statistics

ODDStart
Overview
51%Possession49%
16Total Shots10
4Corners6
7Fouls11
Shots
16Total Shots10
3On Target4
11Off Target3
2Blocked3
10Inside Box7
6Outside Box3
Passing
51%Possession49%
463Total Passes446
392Accurate Passes348
85%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
Discipline
7Fouls11
1Yellow Cards3
3Offsides3

Match Recap: ODD Ballklubb vs Start

Start beat ODD Ballklubb 2-1 in Eliteserien on November 22, 2020.

Goals: E. Schulze (51'), J. Kitolano (64'), K. Kabran (82').

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (51%) and registered 16 shots to 10.

The match was played at Skagerak Arena in Skien.