Sollentuna 0–0 Assyriska FF: Result & Stats

Sollentuna

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Assyriska FF

4/25/2026

Ettan - Norra · Norra - 4Sollentunavallen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Sollentuna51%

×Draw22%

Assyriska FF26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SollentunaExpected goals in this matchAssyriska FF

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.90

1.30

Sollentuna

1.90

Assyriska FF

1.30

Sollentuna creates 46% more chances

Season form · 112 home / 52 away

1.70

creates per match

1.21

1.39

allows per match

2.10

creates per match

Sollentuna

1.70

Assyriska FF

1.21

allows per match

Sollentuna

1.39

Assyriska FF

2.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sollentuna+0.00on par

Assyriska FF+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sollentuna ↓

Assyriska FF →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Sollentuna or draw

74%

Sollentuna or Assyriska FF

78%

Draw or Assyriska FF

49%

Winning margin

Sollentuna wins by 2+

29%

Assyriska FF wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Sollentuna 1+ goals

85%

Sollentuna 2+ goals

56%

Sollentuna 3+ goals

29%

Assyriska FF 1+ goals

73%

Assyriska FF 2+ goals

37%

Assyriska FF 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Sollentuna (draw refunded)

66%

Assyriska FF (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sollentuna at home — creates 1.70, concedes 1.39 · 112 matches

Assyriska FF away — creates 1.21, concedes 2.10 · 52 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sollentuna attack 1.70 + Assyriska FF defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.90

Assyriska FF attack 1.21 + Sollentuna defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Sollentuna scores more

51%

level

22%

Assyriska FF scores more

26%

Sollentuna at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Sollentuna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff