Sochaux 0–0 Clermont Foot: Result & Stats

Sochaux

Pens

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Clermont Foot

I. Macalou 120+9' (pen)

C. Jean 120+7' (pen)

T. Fontaine 120+5' (pen)

M. Drammeh 120+3' (pen)

A. Gnanduillet 120+1' (pen)

D. Da Silva 120+8' (pen)

Y. Magnin 120+6' (pen)

J. Jacquet 120+4' (pen)

12/22/2024

Coupe de France · Round of 64Stade Auguste-Bonal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Sochaux22%

×Draw23%

Clermont Foot55%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SochauxExpected goals in this matchClermont Foot

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.08

1.83

Sochaux

1.08

Clermont Foot

1.83

Clermont Foot creates 69% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

1.50

creates per match

1.83

allows per match

0.67

creates per match

Sochaux

1.50

Clermont Foot

1.83

allows per match

Sochaux

1.83

Clermont Foot

0.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sochaux+0.00on par

Clermont Foot+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sochaux ↓

Clermont Foot →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–110%

0–29%

0–36%

0–43%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Sochaux or draw

45%

Sochaux or Clermont Foot

77%

Draw or Clermont Foot

78%

Winning margin

Sochaux wins by 2+

8%

Clermont Foot wins by 2+

31%

Team goals

Sochaux 1+ goals

66%

Sochaux 2+ goals

29%

Sochaux 3+ goals

10%

Clermont Foot 1+ goals

84%

Clermont Foot 2+ goals

54%

Clermont Foot 3+ goals

28%

Draw no bet

Sochaux (draw refunded)

29%

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)

71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sochaux at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Clermont Foot away — creates 1.83, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sochaux attack 1.50 + Clermont Foot defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.08

Clermont Foot attack 1.83 + Sochaux defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Sochaux scores more

22%

level

23%

Clermont Foot scores more

55%

Clermont Foot at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Clermont Foot will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

M. Patouillet

Sochaux · G

8.9

Match Events

54'

V. Mayela← N. Ouammou

64'

Mouhamadou Drammeh

68'

Josue Isala

72'

M. Baaloudj← Y. Diaby

72'

B. Diallo← M. Douane

73'

V. Joseph← K. Hoggas

74'

Ousmane Diop

78'

I. Macalou← V. Mayela

85'

T. Diagouraga← M. Bassouamina

85'

I. Coulibaly← Y. Armougom

90+7'

A. Maurer← I. Coulibaly

120+2'

M. BaaloudjMissed penalty

120+2'

M. BaaloudjMissed penalty

120+2'

M. BaaloudjMissed penalty

120+2'

M. BaaloudjMissed penalty

120+2'

M. BaaloudjMissed penalty

120+1'

A. GnanduilletPenalty

120+2'

M. BaaloudjMissed penalty

120+3'

M. DrammehPenalty

120+4'

J. JacquetPenalty

120+5'

T. FontainePenalty

120+6'

Y. MagninPenalty

120+7'

C. JeanPenalty

120+8'

D. Da SilvaPenalty

120+9'

I. MacalouPenalty

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SochauxClermont

Overview

51%Possession49%

16Total Shots16

5Corners4

13Fouls9

Shots

16Total Shots16

3On Target7

8Off Target6

5Blocked3

9Inside Box11

7Outside Box5

Passing

51%Possession49%

429Total Passes409

351Accurate Passes343

82%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

7Saves3

Discipline

13Fouls9

1Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards1

2Offsides3