Sochaux 0–0 Clermont Foot: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Sochaux

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Clermont Foot

1/8/2021

Ligue 2 · Round 19Stade Auguste-Bonal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 93+ matches

Sochaux42%

×Draw29%

Clermont Foot29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SochauxExpected goals in this matchClermont Foot

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

0.96

Sochaux

1.21

Clermont Foot

0.96

Sochaux creates 26% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 98 away

1.25

creates per match

0.99

0.94

allows per match

1.16

creates per match

Sochaux

1.25

Clermont Foot

0.99

allows per match

Sochaux

0.94

Clermont Foot

1.16

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sochaux+0.00on par

Clermont Foot+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sochaux ↓

Clermont Foot →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–111%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Sochaux or draw

71%

Sochaux or Clermont Foot

71%

Draw or Clermont Foot

58%

Winning margin

Sochaux wins by 2+

18%

Clermont Foot wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Sochaux 1+ goals

70%

Sochaux 2+ goals

34%

Sochaux 3+ goals

12%

Clermont Foot 1+ goals

62%

Clermont Foot 2+ goals

25%

Clermont Foot 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Sochaux (draw refunded)

59%

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sochaux at home — creates 1.25, concedes 0.94 · 93 matches

Clermont Foot away — creates 0.99, concedes 1.16 · 98 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sochaux attack 1.25 + Clermont Foot defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.21

Clermont Foot attack 0.99 + Sochaux defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Sochaux scores more

42%

level

29%

Clermont Foot scores more

29%

Sochaux at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Sochaux will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

A. Desmas

Clermont Foot · G

7.9

Match Events

41'

44'

59'

59'

67'

J. Iglesias← J. Berthomier

71'

Alidu Seidu

73'

S. Chader← J. Dossou

79'

L. Rajot← Y. Magnin

80'

J. Tell← J. Allevinah

83'

Y. Kaabouni← B. Lasme

87'

S. M'Bakata← B. Soumaré

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SochauxClermont

Overview

50%Possession50%

8Total Shots11

6Corners2

10Fouls13

Shots

8Total Shots11

4On Target2

2Off Target7

2Blocked2

3Inside Box8

5Outside Box3

Passing

50%Possession50%

429Total Passes428

348Accurate Passes334

81%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

10Fouls13

1Yellow Cards2

3Offsides2