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Slovan Rosice vs Hodonín — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slovan Rosice
Slovan Rosice
FT
2 – 0
Hodonín
Hodonín
8/1/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Slovan Rosice59%
×Draw19%
Hodonín22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Rosice
2.54
Hodonín
1.52

Slovan Rosice creates 67% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 9 away

creates per match

Slovan Rosice
2.75
Hodonín
1.78

allows per match

Slovan Rosice
1.25
Hodonín
2.33

finishing

Slovan Rosice+0.00on par
Hodonín+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Rosice ↓

Hodonín →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Slovan Rosice or draw
78%
Slovan Rosice or Hodonín
81%
Draw or Hodonín
41%

Winning margin

Slovan Rosice wins by 2+
38%
Hodonín wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Slovan Rosice 1+ goals
92%
Slovan Rosice 2+ goals
72%
Slovan Rosice 3+ goals
46%
Hodonín 1+ goals
78%
Hodonín 2+ goals
45%
Hodonín 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Slovan Rosice (draw refunded)
73%
Hodonín (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Rosice at home — creates 2.75, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Hodonín away — creates 1.78, concedes 2.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Rosice attack 2.75 + Hodonín defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.54

Hodonín attack 1.78 + Slovan Rosice defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Slovan Rosice scores more
59%
level
19%
Hodonín scores more
22%

Slovan Rosice at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Slovan Rosice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Slovan Rosice 2–0 Hodonín

Slovan Rosice beat Hodonín 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on August 1, 2020.