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Slavia Mozyr vs Belshina — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slavia Mozyr
Slavia Mozyr
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Belshina
Belshina
2/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Slavia Mozyr62%
×Draw21%
Belshina16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Mozyr
1.98
Belshina
0.90

Slavia Mozyr creates 120% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 5 away

creates per match

Slavia Mozyr
1.75
Belshina
0.80

allows per match

Slavia Mozyr
1.00
Belshina
2.20

finishing

Slavia Mozyr+0.00on par
Belshina+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Mozyr ↓

Belshina →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Slavia Mozyr or draw
84%
Slavia Mozyr or Belshina
79%
Draw or Belshina
38%

Winning margin

Slavia Mozyr wins by 2+
38%
Belshina wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Slavia Mozyr 1+ goals
86%
Slavia Mozyr 2+ goals
59%
Slavia Mozyr 3+ goals
31%
Belshina 1+ goals
59%
Belshina 2+ goals
23%
Belshina 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Slavia Mozyr (draw refunded)
79%
Belshina (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Mozyr at home — creates 1.75, concedes 1.00 · 12 matches

Belshina away — creates 0.80, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Mozyr attack 1.75 + Belshina defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.98

Belshina attack 0.80 + Slavia Mozyr defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Slavia Mozyr scores more
62%
level
21%
Belshina scores more
16%

Slavia Mozyr at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Slavia Mozyr will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Slavia
Belshina
Ivan Bionchik
Manager: Ivan Bionchik
Aleksandr Lisovskiy
Manager: Aleksandr Lisovskiy

Match Recap: Slavia Mozyr vs Belshina

Slavia Mozyr beat Belshina 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 25, 2026.