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Shenzhen Ruby FC vs Shanghai Shenxin — League One 2026

Shenzhen Ruby FC
Shenzhen Ruby FC
FT
0 – 0
Shanghai Shenxin
Shanghai Shenxin
10/28/2017League OneLeague One · Round 30Shenzhen City Stadium (Shenzhen)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Shenzhen Ruby FC63%
×Draw19%
Shanghai Shenxin18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shenzhen Ruby FC
2.25
Shanghai Shenxin
1.10

Shenzhen Ruby FC creates 105% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 31 away

creates per match

Shenzhen Ruby FC
2.35
Shanghai Shenxin
0.97

allows per match

Shenzhen Ruby FC
1.24
Shanghai Shenxin
2.16

finishing

Shenzhen Ruby FC+0.00on par
Shanghai Shenxin+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shenzhen Ruby FC ↓

Shanghai Shenxin →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Shenzhen Ruby FC or draw
82%
Shenzhen Ruby FC or Shanghai Shenxin
81%
Draw or Shanghai Shenxin
37%

Winning margin

Shenzhen Ruby FC wins by 2+
40%
Shanghai Shenxin wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Shenzhen Ruby FC 1+ goals
89%
Shenzhen Ruby FC 2+ goals
65%
Shenzhen Ruby FC 3+ goals
39%
Shanghai Shenxin 1+ goals
67%
Shanghai Shenxin 2+ goals
30%
Shanghai Shenxin 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Shenzhen Ruby FC (draw refunded)
78%
Shanghai Shenxin (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shenzhen Ruby FC at home — creates 2.35, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

Shanghai Shenxin away — creates 0.97, concedes 2.16 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shenzhen Ruby FC attack 2.35 + Shanghai Shenxin defence 2.16 → ÷2 → 2.25

Shanghai Shenxin attack 0.97 + Shenzhen Ruby FC defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Shenzhen Ruby FC scores more
63%
level
19%
Shanghai Shenxin scores more
18%

Shenzhen Ruby FC at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Shenzhen Ruby FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League One: Shenzhen Ruby FC 0–0 Shanghai Shenxin

Shenzhen Ruby FC and Shanghai Shenxin drew 0-0 in League One on October 28, 2017.

The match was played at Shenzhen City Stadium (Shenzhen).