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Sheffield Utd vs QPR — Championship 2018

Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
Preview
15:00
QPR
QPR
3/13/2027ChampionshipChampionship · Round 37Bramall Lane
Big match
51%
Sheffield Utd
model favours
51%26%23%
1–0
likely score
58%
under 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 44+ matches

Sheffield Utd51%
×Draw26%
QPR23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sheffield Utd
1.48
QPR
0.90

Sheffield Utd creates 64% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 57 away

creates per match

Sheffield Utd
1.73
QPR
0.79

allows per match

Sheffield Utd
1.01
QPR
1.22

finishing

Sheffield Utd-0.14scores less
QPR+0.10scores more

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sheffield Utd ↓

QPR →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
42%58%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Sheffield Utd or draw
77%
Sheffield Utd or QPR
74%
Draw or QPR
49%

Winning margin

Sheffield Utd wins by 2+
26%
QPR wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Sheffield Utd 1+ goals
77%
Sheffield Utd 2+ goals
43%
Sheffield Utd 3+ goals
19%
QPR 1+ goals
59%
QPR 2+ goals
23%
QPR 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Sheffield Utd (draw refunded)
69%
QPR (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sheffield Utd at home — creates 1.73, concedes 1.01 · 44 matches

QPR away — creates 0.79, concedes 1.22 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sheffield Utd attack 1.73 + QPR defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.48

QPR attack 0.79 + Sheffield Utd defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Sheffield Utd scores more
51%
level
26%
QPR scores more
23%

Sheffield Utd at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Sheffield Utd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Sheffield Utd
Attack-heavy
QPR
Balanced
53%Possession47%
78%Pass accuracy76%
13.3Shots11.9
1.53xGBiggest gap1.06
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Sheffield UtdQPR

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

6
Sheffield Utd
3
Draws
1
QPR
Avg goals: 2.1BTTS: 50%
2–00–02–12–21–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Utd
WWDWW
QPR
WWDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Sheffield Utd host QPR

March 13, 2027: Sheffield Utd take on QPR in Championship. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Sheffield Utd host QPR at Bramall Lane.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.