Sheffield Utd 0–1 Blackpool: Result & Stats

Sheffield Utd

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Blackpool

K. Anderson 76'

10/30/2021

Championship · Round 15Bramall Lane

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Sheffield Utd54%

×Draw25%

Blackpool21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sheffield UtdExpected goals in this matchBlackpool

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.60

0.91

Sheffield Utd

1.60

Blackpool

0.91

Sheffield Utd creates 76% more chances

Season form · 116 home / 52 away

1.69

creates per match

0.92

0.90

allows per match

1.52

creates per match

Sheffield Utd

1.69

Blackpool

0.92

allows per match

Sheffield Utd

0.90

Blackpool

1.52

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sheffield Utd+0.00on par

Blackpool+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sheffield Utd ↓

Blackpool →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Sheffield Utd or draw

79%

Sheffield Utd or Blackpool

75%

Draw or Blackpool

46%

Winning margin

Sheffield Utd wins by 2+

28%

Blackpool wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Sheffield Utd 1+ goals

80%

Sheffield Utd 2+ goals

47%

Sheffield Utd 3+ goals

22%

Blackpool 1+ goals

60%

Blackpool 2+ goals

23%

Blackpool 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Sheffield Utd (draw refunded)

71%

Blackpool (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sheffield Utd at home — creates 1.69, concedes 0.90 · 116 matches

Blackpool away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.52 · 52 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sheffield Utd attack 1.69 + Blackpool defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.60

Blackpool attack 0.92 + Sheffield Utd defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Sheffield Utd scores more

54%

level

25%

Blackpool scores more

21%

Sheffield Utd at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Sheffield Utd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

32

D. Grimshaw

Blackpool · G

8.2

Match Events

62'

Josh Bowler

63'

D. McGoldrick← B. Osborn

63'

D. Mitchell← J. Bowler

63'

S. Carey← J. Yates

74'

B. Sharp← L. Mousset

76'

K. Anderson↳ D. Grimshaw

79'

Ben Davies

81'

O. McBurnie← J. Fleck

87'

L. Garbutt← K. Anderson

89'

Oliver Norwood

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SheffieldBlackpool

Overview

58%Possession42%

13Total Shots5

4Corners4

15Fouls8

Shots

13Total Shots5

4On Target2

5Off Target1

4Blocked2

10Inside Box3

3Outside Box2

Passing

58%Possession42%

500Total Passes363

391Accurate Passes257

78%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

15Fouls8

2Yellow Cards1

3Offsides4