Blackpool 0–0 Sheffield Utd: Result & Stats

Blackpool

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sheffield Utd

3/16/2022

Championship · Round 38Bloomfield Road

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Blackpool34%

×Draw28%

Sheffield Utd39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BlackpoolExpected goals in this matchSheffield Utd

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.15

1.26

Blackpool

1.15

Sheffield Utd

1.26

Sheffield Utd creates 10% more chances

Season form · 52 home / 116 away

1.23

creates per match

1.25

1.27

allows per match

1.07

creates per match

Blackpool

1.23

Sheffield Utd

1.25

allows per match

Blackpool

1.27

Sheffield Utd

1.07

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Blackpool+0.00on par

Sheffield Utd+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Sheffield Utd →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw

61%

Blackpool or Sheffield Utd

72%

Draw or Sheffield Utd

66%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+

14%

Sheffield Utd wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals

68%

Blackpool 2+ goals

32%

Blackpool 3+ goals

11%

Sheffield Utd 1+ goals

72%

Sheffield Utd 2+ goals

36%

Sheffield Utd 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)

46%

Sheffield Utd (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.27 · 52 matches

Sheffield Utd away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.07 · 116 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.23 + Sheffield Utd defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.15

Sheffield Utd attack 1.25 + Blackpool defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Blackpool scores more

34%

level

28%

Sheffield Utd scores more

39%

Sheffield Utd at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Sheffield Utd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

34

J. Thorniley

Blackpool · D

7.7

Match Events

31'

Jack Robinson

40'

Callum Connolly

70'

C. Hourihane← I. Ndiaye

81'

S. Lavery← C. Connolly

81'

C. Kirk← C. Hamilton

86'

J. Yates← G. Madine

90'

Billy Sharp

90+1'

W. Osula← M. Gibbs-White

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BlackpoolSheffield

Overview

49%Possession51%

10Total Shots7

2Corners5

6Fouls12

Shots

10Total Shots7

2On Target2

7Off Target2

1Blocked3

8Inside Box4

2Outside Box3

Passing

49%Possession51%

382Total Passes389

250Accurate Passes247

65%Pass Accuracy63%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

6Fouls12

1Yellow Cards2

1Offsides3