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Shakhter Soligorsk vs FC Slutsk — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Shakhter Soligorsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
FT
1 – 1
FC Slutsk
FC Slutsk
6/8/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3UTB Zhjemchuzhуna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Shakhter Soligorsk64%
×Draw23%
FC Slutsk13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shakhter Soligorsk
1.74
FC Slutsk
0.65

Shakhter Soligorsk creates 168% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

creates per match

Shakhter Soligorsk
2.14
FC Slutsk
1.00

allows per match

Shakhter Soligorsk
0.29
FC Slutsk
1.33

finishing

Shakhter Soligorsk+0.00on par
FC Slutsk+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shakhter Soligorsk ↓

FC Slutsk →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–110%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Shakhter Soligorsk or draw
87%
Shakhter Soligorsk or FC Slutsk
77%
Draw or FC Slutsk
36%

Winning margin

Shakhter Soligorsk wins by 2+
37%
FC Slutsk wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Shakhter Soligorsk 1+ goals
82%
Shakhter Soligorsk 2+ goals
52%
Shakhter Soligorsk 3+ goals
25%
FC Slutsk 1+ goals
48%
FC Slutsk 2+ goals
14%
FC Slutsk 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Shakhter Soligorsk (draw refunded)
83%
FC Slutsk (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shakhter Soligorsk at home — creates 2.14, concedes 0.29 · 7 matches

FC Slutsk away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shakhter Soligorsk attack 2.14 + FC Slutsk defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.74

FC Slutsk attack 1.00 + Shakhter Soligorsk defence 0.29 → ÷2 → 0.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Shakhter Soligorsk scores more
64%
level
23%
FC Slutsk scores more
13%

Shakhter Soligorsk at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Shakhter Soligorsk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Shakhter Soligorsk 1–1 FC Slutsk

Shakhter Soligorsk and FC Slutsk drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 8, 2024.

The match was played at UTB Zhjemchuzhуna in Soligorsk.