Shakhter Soligorsk 1–2 FC Slutsk: Result & Stats

Shakhter Soligorsk

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 2

FC Slutsk

4/28/2024

Premier League · Round 6Stadyen Budaŭnik

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 103+ matches

Shakhter Soligorsk57%

×Draw24%

FC Slutsk19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Shakhter SoligorskExpected goals in this matchFC Slutsk

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.69

0.85

Shakhter Soligorsk

1.69

FC Slutsk

0.85

Shakhter Soligorsk creates 99% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 120 away

1.81

creates per match

0.88

0.82

allows per match

1.57

creates per match

Shakhter Soligorsk

1.81

FC Slutsk

0.88

allows per match

Shakhter Soligorsk

0.82

FC Slutsk

1.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Shakhter Soligorsk+0.00on par

FC Slutsk+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shakhter Soligorsk ↓

FC Slutsk →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–111%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Shakhter Soligorsk or draw

81%

Shakhter Soligorsk or FC Slutsk

76%

Draw or FC Slutsk

43%

Winning margin

Shakhter Soligorsk wins by 2+

32%

FC Slutsk wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Shakhter Soligorsk 1+ goals

82%

Shakhter Soligorsk 2+ goals

50%

Shakhter Soligorsk 3+ goals

24%

FC Slutsk 1+ goals

57%

FC Slutsk 2+ goals

21%

FC Slutsk 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Shakhter Soligorsk (draw refunded)

75%

FC Slutsk (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shakhter Soligorsk at home — creates 1.81, concedes 0.82 · 103 matches

FC Slutsk away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.57 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shakhter Soligorsk attack 1.81 + FC Slutsk defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.69

FC Slutsk attack 0.88 + Shakhter Soligorsk defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Shakhter Soligorsk scores more

57%

level

24%

FC Slutsk scores more

19%

Shakhter Soligorsk at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Shakhter Soligorsk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Shakhter Soligorsk 1–2 FC Slutsk

FC Slutsk beat Shakhter Soligorsk 2-1 in Premier League on April 28, 2024.

The match was played at Stadyen Budaŭnik in Soligorsk.

Shakhter Soligorsk vs FC Slutsk — Premier League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Premier League: Shakhter Soligorsk 1–2 FC Slutsk