Saudi Arabia 2–0 Jordan: Result & Stats

Saudi Arabia

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Jordan

M. Al Saad 76'

H. Tambakti 20'

5/30/2025

Friendlies · Friendlies 1Al Ettifaq club stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Saudi Arabia50%

×Draw27%

Jordan23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Saudi ArabiaExpected goals in this matchJordan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.39

0.85

Saudi Arabia

1.39

Jordan

0.85

Saudi Arabia creates 64% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 26 away

1.00

creates per match

0.88

0.83

allows per match

1.77

creates per match

Saudi Arabia

1.00

Jordan

0.88

allows per match

Saudi Arabia

0.83

Jordan

1.77

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Saudi Arabia+0.00on par

Jordan+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Saudi Arabia ↓

Jordan →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Saudi Arabia or draw

77%

Saudi Arabia or Jordan

73%

Draw or Jordan

50%

Winning margin

Saudi Arabia wins by 2+

24%

Jordan wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Saudi Arabia 1+ goals

75%

Saudi Arabia 2+ goals

40%

Saudi Arabia 3+ goals

16%

Jordan 1+ goals

57%

Jordan 2+ goals

21%

Jordan 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Saudi Arabia (draw refunded)

68%

Jordan (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Saudi Arabia at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.83 · 36 matches

Jordan away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.77 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Saudi Arabia attack 1.00 + Jordan defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.39

Jordan attack 0.88 + Saudi Arabia defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Saudi Arabia scores more

50%

level

27%

Jordan scores more

23%

Saudi Arabia at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Saudi Arabia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'

H. Tambakti

76'

M. Al Saad

Saudi

Jordan

Manager: H. Renard

Manager: J. Sellami