San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0–1 Always Ready

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Always Ready

H. Bobadilla 14'

11/4/2025

Primera División · Apertura - 24Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo43%

×Draw23%

Always Ready34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

San Antonio Bulo BuloExpected goals in this matchAlways Ready

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

1.53

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.73

Always Ready

1.53

San Antonio Bulo Bulo creates 13% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 124 away

1.96

creates per match

1.48

1.58

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.96

Always Ready

1.48

allows per match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1.58

Always Ready

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par

Always Ready+0.00on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Antonio Bulo Bulo ↓

Always Ready →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

63%37%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or draw

66%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo or Always Ready

77%

Draw or Always Ready

57%

Winning margin

San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+

22%

Always Ready wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals

82%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals

52%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals

25%

Always Ready 1+ goals

78%

Always Ready 2+ goals

45%

Always Ready 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)

55%

Always Ready (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at home — creates 1.96, concedes 1.58 · 45 matches

Always Ready away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.50 · 124 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.96 + Always Ready defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.73

Always Ready attack 1.48 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more

43%

level

23%

Always Ready scores more

34%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "San Antonio Bulo Bulo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

20

F. Saucedo

Always Ready · M

8.3

Match Events

14'

H. Bobadilla↳ F. Saucedo

35'

Santiago Arce

42'

Dario Torrico

46'

M. De Lima← K. Merida

67'

M. Alonso← A. Terrazas

67'

K. Romay← C. Rodriguez

87'

P. Pernicone← H. Bobadilla

89'

A. Avalos← J. Flores

90+2'

Lider Yanarico

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SanAlways

Overview

52%Possession48%

11Total Shots19

1.35Expected Goals (xG)2.25

2Corners7

13Fouls7

Shots

11Total Shots19

1On Target7

6Off Target9

4Blocked3

3Inside Box13

8Outside Box6

Passing

52%Possession48%

369Total Passes327

305Accurate Passes252

83%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

6Saves2

Discipline

13Fouls7

2Yellow Cards1

2Offsides1