Scoreo

Always Ready vs San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División 2026

C. Lucumí 45'
P. Meza 90+3' (pen)
11/29/2024Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Clausura - 24Estadio Municipal El Alto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

Always Ready63%
×Draw20%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo18%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Always Ready
2.23
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.10

Always Ready creates 103% more chances

Season form · 127 home / 41 away

creates per match

Always Ready
2.58
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.34

allows per match

Always Ready
0.87
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.88

finishing

Always Ready+0.00on par
San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Always Ready

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
014%
022%
031%
040%
1
108%
119%
125%
132%
140%
2
209%
2110%
225%
232%
241%
3
307%
317%
324%
331%
340%
4
404%
414%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Always Ready or draw
82%
Always Ready or San Antonio Bulo Bulo
80%
Draw or San Antonio Bulo Bulo
37%

Winning margin

Always Ready wins by 2+
40%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Always Ready 1+ goals
89%
Always Ready 2+ goals
65%
Always Ready 3+ goals
38%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals
67%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals
30%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Always Ready (draw refunded)
78%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Always Ready at homecreates 2.58, concedes 0.87 · 127 matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo awaycreates 1.34, concedes 1.88 · 41 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Always Ready attack 2.58 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 2.23

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.34 + Always Ready defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Always Ready scores more
63%
level
20%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more
18%

Always Ready at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Always Ready will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

27
J. MartínezAlways ReadyAlways Ready · M
7.9

Possession

64%Always

Shots

17Always

Pass accuracy

52%Always

Statistics

AlwaysSan
Overview
64%Possession36%
17Total Shots9
4Corners1
8Fouls15
Shots
17Total Shots9
5On Target1
7Off Target6
5Blocked2
6Inside Box4
11Outside Box5
Passing
64%Possession36%
438Total Passes248
391Accurate Passes202
89%Pass Accuracy81%
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
Discipline
8Fouls15
2Yellow Cards0
1Offsides1

Always Ready 1 – 1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Always Ready and San Antonio Bulo Bulo drew 1-1 in Primera División on November 29, 2024.

Goals: C. Lucumí (45'), P. Meza (90+3' pen).

Always Ready controlled possession (64%) and registered 17 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal El Alto in El Alto.