Sabah FA 3–1 Petaling Jaya City: Result & Stats

Sabah FA

3 – 1

HT: 2 – 1

Petaling Jaya City

S. Ramdani 48'

Neto Pessôa 35'

Jackson 16'

S. Kumaahran 45+1'

3/9/2022

League #278 · Round 2Stadium Likas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Sabah FA30%

×Draw29%

Petaling Jaya City41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sabah FAExpected goals in this matchPetaling Jaya City

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.00

1.23

Sabah FA

1.00

Petaling Jaya City

1.23

Petaling Jaya City creates 23% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 5 away

1.00

creates per match

1.20

1.25

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

Sabah FA

1.00

Petaling Jaya City

1.20

allows per match

Sabah FA

1.25

Petaling Jaya City

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sabah FA+0.00on par

Petaling Jaya City+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sabah FA ↓

Petaling Jaya City →

0–011%

0–113%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2–05%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Sabah FA or draw

59%

Sabah FA or Petaling Jaya City

71%

Draw or Petaling Jaya City

70%

Winning margin

Sabah FA wins by 2+

11%

Petaling Jaya City wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Sabah FA 1+ goals

63%

Sabah FA 2+ goals

26%

Sabah FA 3+ goals

Petaling Jaya City 1+ goals

71%

Petaling Jaya City 2+ goals

35%

Petaling Jaya City 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Sabah FA (draw refunded)

42%

Petaling Jaya City (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Sabah FA at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

Petaling Jaya City away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Sabah FA attack 1.00 + Petaling Jaya City defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00

Petaling Jaya City attack 1.20 + Sabah FA defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 41%?"

Sabah FA scores more

30%

level

29%

Petaling Jaya City scores more

41%

Petaling Jaya City at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Petaling Jaya City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

16'

Jackson

22'

A. Salomon Raj← K. Gurusamy Govandar

35'

44'

45+1'

48'

54'

63'

K. Kannan← V. Ruventhiran

63'

Khyril Muhymeen Zambri← P. Rajesh

65'

Rawilson Batuil← Tommy Mawat Bada

66'

S. Wilkin← Baddrol Bakhtiar

74'

Ummareng Bacok← Nazirul Naim Che Hashim

77'

M. Kogileswaran Raj← Mahalli Jasuli

77'

Syahmi Zamri← Nasir Basharudin

85'

Irfan Fazail← T. Kagayama

Sabah

Petaling

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

Manager: Ong Kim

65'▲Rawilson Batuil←▼Tommy Mawat Bada

66'▲S. Wilkin←▼Baddrol Bakhtiar

74'▲Ummareng Bacok←▼Nazirul Naim Che Hashim

85'▲Irfan Fazail←▼T. Kagayama

Sabah FA substitutes

3Batuil22Wilkin29Bacok77Fazail13Fadzli17Yahyah31Lim69Saidin88Musa

Manager: P. Maniam

22'▲A. Salomon Raj←▼K. Gurusamy Govandar

63'▲K. Kannan←▼V. Ruventhiran

63'▲Khyril Muhymeen Zambri←▼P. Rajesh

77'▲M. Kogileswaran Raj←▼Mahalli Jasuli

77'▲Syahmi Zamri←▼Nasir Basharudin

Petaling Jaya City substitutes

23Raj5Kannan18Zambri7Raj77Zamri3Shivan11Kugan24Sukri55Maran

Match Recap: Sabah FA vs Petaling Jaya City

Sabah FA beat Petaling Jaya City 3-1 in League #278 on March 9, 2022.

Goals: Jackson (16'), Neto Pessôa (35'), S. Kumaahran (45+1'), S. Ramdani (48').

The match was played at Stadium Likas in Kota Kinablu.

Sabah FA vs Petaling Jaya City — League #278 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sabah FA vs Petaling Jaya City