Ružomberok vs Liptovský Mikuláš — League #332 2026
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 7+ matches
Ružomberok47%
Liptovský Mikuláš27%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Ružomberok creates 42% more chances
Season form · 9 home / 7 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under53
- Over47
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes51
- No49
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Ružomberok ↓
Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Ružomberok at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches
Liptovský Mikuláš away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Ružomberok attack 1.44 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.50
Liptovský Mikuláš attack 1.00 + Ružomberok defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.06
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 47%?"
Ružomberok at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 47% does not mean "Ružomberok will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Events
Head to Head
5 previous meetings
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Statistics
Ružomberok host Liptovský Mikuláš on Saturday, 15 April 2023 at 16:00. The match is part of the League #332 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Ružomberok vs Liptovský Mikuláš
Ružomberok beat Liptovský Mikuláš 3-0 in League #332 on April 15, 2023.
Goals: M. Boďa (35', 55'), S. Šefčík (60').
Ružomberok controlled possession (59%) and registered 21 shots to 6.
The match was played at Futbalový štadión MFK Ružomberok in Ružomberok.