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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Ružomberok — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
FT
3 – 1
HT: 3 – 0
Ružomberok
Ružomberok
Unknown 43', 32', 17'
M. Kelemen 80'
6/29/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Štadión Liptovský Mikuláš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Liptovský Mikuláš56%
×Draw22%
Ružomberok22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Liptovský Mikuláš
2.01
Ružomberok
1.19

Liptovský Mikuláš creates 69% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 10 away

creates per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
2.42
Ružomberok
0.70

allows per match

Liptovský Mikuláš
1.68
Ružomberok
1.60

finishing

Liptovský Mikuláš+0.00on par
Ružomberok+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Liptovský Mikuláš ↓

Ružomberok →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Liptovský Mikuláš or draw
78%
Liptovský Mikuláš or Ružomberok
78%
Draw or Ružomberok
44%

Winning margin

Liptovský Mikuláš wins by 2+
33%
Ružomberok wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Liptovský Mikuláš 1+ goals
87%
Liptovský Mikuláš 2+ goals
59%
Liptovský Mikuláš 3+ goals
32%
Ružomberok 1+ goals
70%
Ružomberok 2+ goals
33%
Ružomberok 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Liptovský Mikuláš (draw refunded)
72%
Ružomberok (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Liptovský Mikuláš at home — creates 2.42, concedes 1.68 · 19 matches

Ružomberok away — creates 0.70, concedes 1.60 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Liptovský Mikuláš attack 2.42 + Ružomberok defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 2.01

Ružomberok attack 0.70 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Liptovský Mikuláš scores more
56%
level
22%
Ružomberok scores more
22%

Liptovský Mikuláš at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Liptovský Mikuláš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

17'
32'
43'
46'
M. Boda← M. Boda
46'
S. Gabriel← M. Maly
57'
K. Domonkos← R. Bozik
80'
M. Kelemen
Liptovský
Ružomberok
I. Lišivka
Manager: I. Lišivka
O. Smetana
Manager: O. Smetana
46'▲—←▼M. Boda
46'▲S. Gabriel←▼M. Maly
57'▲K. Domonkos←▼R. Bozik

Match Recap: Liptovský Mikuláš vs Ružomberok

Liptovský Mikuláš beat Ružomberok 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 29, 2024.

Goals: ? (17', 32', 43'), M. Kelemen (80').

The match was played at Štadión Liptovský Mikuláš in Liptovský Mikuláš.