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RSC Anderlecht II vs AS Eupen — League #145 2026

RSC Anderlecht II
RSC Anderlecht II
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
AS Eupen
AS Eupen
I. Baouf 86'
N. Angulo 28'
E. Gedikli 71'
J. Gorenc 63'
11/2/2024League #145League #145 · Round 10Stade Roi Baudouin

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

RSC Anderlecht II24%
×Draw25%
AS Eupen50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RSC Anderlecht II
1.01
AS Eupen
1.57

AS Eupen creates 55% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 15 away

creates per match

RSC Anderlecht II
0.75
AS Eupen
1.40

allows per match

RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
AS Eupen
1.27

finishing

RSC Anderlecht II+0.00on par
AS Eupen+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RSC Anderlecht II ↓

AS Eupen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–112%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

RSC Anderlecht II or draw
50%
RSC Anderlecht II or AS Eupen
75%
Draw or AS Eupen
76%

Winning margin

RSC Anderlecht II wins by 2+
9%
AS Eupen wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

RSC Anderlecht II 1+ goals
64%
RSC Anderlecht II 2+ goals
27%
RSC Anderlecht II 3+ goals
8%
AS Eupen 1+ goals
79%
AS Eupen 2+ goals
46%
AS Eupen 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

RSC Anderlecht II (draw refunded)
33%
AS Eupen (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RSC Anderlecht II at home — creates 0.75, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

AS Eupen away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.75 + AS Eupen defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.01

AS Eupen attack 1.40 + RSC Anderlecht II defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

RSC Anderlecht II scores more
24%
level
25%
AS Eupen scores more
50%

AS Eupen at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "AS Eupen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

2
Y. Van GenechtenAS EupenAS Eupen · M
7.6

Match Events

28'
N. Angulo↳ A. Maamar
45+1'
Basile Vroninks
45+1'
Amadou Keita
61'
L. Vergeylen← M. Robberechts
63'
J. Gorenc↳ Y. Van Genechten
66'
J. Déom← A. Keita
66'
B. Çalışkan← R. Emond
71'
E. Gedikli
74'
L. Dalla Costa← J. Gorenc
78'
R. Ure← B. Vroninks
78'
K. Barry← N. Engwanda
79'
Robbie Ure
86'
I. Baouf↳ N. De Cat
88'
M. Pantović← S. Pattynama
88'
T. Alloh← E. Gedikli

Possession

52%RSC

Shots

11RSC

Pass accuracy

50%RSC

Statistics

RSCAS
Overview
52%Possession48%
11Total Shots8
7Corners3
16Fouls20
Shots
11Total Shots8
3On Target4
5Off Target3
3Blocked1
11Inside Box6
0Outside Box2
Passing
52%Possession48%
457Total Passes422
340Accurate Passes311
74%Pass Accuracy74%
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
Discipline
16Fouls20
2Yellow Cards1
4Offsides0

League #145: RSC Anderlecht II 2–2 AS Eupen

RSC Anderlecht II and AS Eupen drew 2-2 in League #145 on November 2, 2024.

Goals: N. Angulo (28'), J. Gorenc (63'), E. Gedikli (71'), I. Baouf (86').

RSC Anderlecht II controlled possession (52%) and registered 11 shots to 8.

The match was played at Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussel.