Remo 4–2 CRB: Result & Stats | Serie B

Remo

FT

4 – 2

HT: 2 – 1

CRB

Caio Vinicius 75'

M. N. Ferreira Berrondo 56'

Fabio Alemao 35' (OG)

Diego Hernandez 27'

Breno Herculano 90'

Matheus Ribeiro 24'

9/28/2025

Serie B · Round 29Estadio Evandro Almeida

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Remo45%

×Draw30%

CRB25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RemoExpected goals in this matchCRB

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

0.82

Remo

1.21

CRB

0.82

Remo creates 48% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 137 away

0.97

creates per match

0.89

0.76

allows per match

1.45

creates per match

Remo

0.97

CRB

0.89

allows per match

Remo

0.76

CRB

1.45

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Remo+0.00on par

CRB+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Remo ↓

CRB →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–111%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Remo or draw

75%

Remo or CRB

70%

Draw or CRB

55%

Winning margin

Remo wins by 2+

20%

CRB wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Remo 1+ goals

70%

Remo 2+ goals

34%

Remo 3+ goals

12%

CRB 1+ goals

56%

CRB 2+ goals

20%

CRB 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Remo (draw refunded)

64%

CRB (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Remo at home — creates 0.97, concedes 0.76 · 38 matches

CRB away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.45 · 137 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Remo attack 0.97 + CRB defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.21

CRB attack 0.89 + Remo defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Remo scores more

45%

level

30%

CRB scores more

25%

Remo at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Remo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

34

Caio Vinicius

Remo · M

8.2

Match Events

24'

Matheus Ribeiro

27'

Diego Hernandez

29'

Luan Martins Gonçalves

31'

Diego Hernández

35'

Fabio AlemaoOwn goal

39'

Joao Pedro← Eduardo Melo

46'

Higor Meritão

46'

Nathan Camargo← Luan Martins

46'

Giovanni Pavani← Jaderson

46'

L. Segovia← Fabio Alemao

52'

Henri Santos

54'

Gege← Higor Meritao

54'

Willian Pottker← Dada Belmonte

56'

M. N. Ferreira Berrondo↳ Caio Vinicius

65'

Breno Herculano← Mikael

70'

João Pedro Silva

72'

Janderson← Diego Hernandez

75'

Caio Vinicius↳ Janderson

78'

L. Fernando← Danielzinho

79'

Luiz Fernando

89'

Pedro Castro← M. N. Ferreira Berrondo

90+5'

Nathan Camargo

90'

Breno Herculano

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RemoCRB

Overview

28%Possession72%

11Total Shots24

0.93Expected Goals (xG)1.15

2Corners15

11Fouls11

Shots

11Total Shots24

7On Target5

2Off Target10

2Blocked9

3Inside Box7

8Outside Box17

Passing

28%Possession72%

207Total Passes528

155Accurate Passes467

75%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

Discipline

11Fouls11

4Yellow Cards3

0Offsides1

Remo 4 – 2 CRB

Remo beat CRB 4-2 in Serie B on September 28, 2025.

Goals: Matheus Ribeiro (24'), Diego Hernandez (27'), Fabio Alemao (35' o.g.), M. N. Ferreira Berrondo (56'), Caio Vinicius (75'), Breno Herculano (90').

CRB controlled possession (72%) and registered 24 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio Evandro Almeida in Belem.

Remo vs CRB — Serie B 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Remo 4 – 2 CRB