Scoreo

Remo vs CRBSerie B 2026

Remo
Remo
FT
12
HT: 00
CRB
CRB
Jefferson 82'
R. Bressan 66' (pen), 60' (pen)
8/22/2021Serie BSerie B · Round 20Estádio Evandro Almeida

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Remo45%
×Draw30%
CRB25%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Remo
1.21
CRB
0.82

Remo creates 48% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 137 away

creates per match

Remo
0.97
CRB
0.89

allows per match

Remo
0.76
CRB
1.45

finishing

Remo+0.00on par
CRB+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Remo

CRB
0
1
2
3
4
0
0013%
0111%
024%
031%
040%
1
1016%
1113%
125%
131%
140%
2
2010%
218%
223%
231%
240%
3
304%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Remo or draw
75%
Remo or CRB
70%
Draw or CRB
55%

Winning margin

Remo wins by 2+
20%
CRB wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Remo 1+ goals
70%
Remo 2+ goals
34%
Remo 3+ goals
12%
CRB 1+ goals
56%
CRB 2+ goals
20%
CRB 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Remo (draw refunded)
64%
CRB (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Remo at homecreates 0.97, concedes 0.76 · 38 matches

CRB awaycreates 0.89, concedes 1.45 · 137 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Remo attack 0.97 + CRB defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.21

CRB attack 0.89 + Remo defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Remo scores more
45%
level
30%
CRB scores more
25%

Remo at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Remo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10
R. BressanCRBCRB · M
8.2

Possession

57%Remo

Shots

11Remo

Pass accuracy

52%Remo

Statistics

RemoCRB
Overview
57%Possession43%
11Total Shots5
5Corners3
12Fouls16
Shots
11Total Shots5
3On Target4
2Off Target1
6Blocked0
3Inside Box4
8Outside Box1
Passing
57%Possession43%
447Total Passes340
371Accurate Passes260
83%Pass Accuracy76%
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
Discipline
12Fouls16
2Yellow Cards2
2Offsides3

Match Recap: Remo vs CRB

CRB beat Remo 2-1 in Serie B on August 22, 2021.

Goals: R. Bressan (60' pen, 66' pen), Jefferson (82').

Remo controlled possession (57%) and registered 11 shots to 5.

The match was played at Estádio Evandro Almeida in Belém, Pará.