Reims 2–2 Angers: Result & Stats | Ligue 1

Reims

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Angers

F. Balogun 54'

J. Ito 10'

H. Abdelli 60'

H. Šabanović 46'

5/21/2023

Ligue 1 · Round 36Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Reims57%

×Draw22%

Angers21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ReimsExpected goals in this matchAngers

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.98

1.13

Reims

1.98

Angers

1.13

Reims creates 75% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 28 away

2.14

creates per match

0.82

1.44

allows per match

1.81

creates per match

Reims

2.14

Angers

0.82

allows per match

Reims

1.44

Angers

1.81

-0.81scores less than expected

finishing

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

Reims-0.81scores less

Angers-0.18scores less

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Reims ↓

Angers →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Reims or draw

79%

Reims or Angers

78%

Draw or Angers

43%

Winning margin

Reims wins by 2+

34%

Angers wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Reims 1+ goals

86%

Reims 2+ goals

59%

Reims 3+ goals

31%

Angers 1+ goals

68%

Angers 2+ goals

31%

Angers 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Reims (draw refunded)

73%

Angers (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Reims at home — creates 2.14, concedes 1.44 · 6 matches

Angers away — creates 0.82, concedes 1.81 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Reims attack 2.14 + Angers defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.98

Angers attack 0.82 + Reims defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Reims scores more

57%

level

22%

Angers scores more

21%

Reims at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Reims will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

H. Abdelli

Angers · M

7.9

Match Events

10'

J. Ito↳ Y. Abdelhamid

46'

H. Šabanović

54'

F. Balogun↳ E. Agbadou

58'

M. Maolida← D. Lopy

58'

J. Cajuste← K. Sierhuis

60'

64'

64'

76'

77'

L. Rao-Lisoa← H. Šabanović

80'

V. Atangana Edoa← A. Flips

80'

M. Touré← M. Munetsi

85'

Z. Ould Khaled← H. Abdelli

90'

Yahia Fofana

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ReimsAngers

Overview

57%Possession43%

11Total Shots7

1.56Expected Goals (xG)1.27

7Corners3

14Fouls11

Shots

11Total Shots7

5On Target3

4Off Target3

2Blocked1

8Inside Box5

3Outside Box2

Passing

57%Possession43%

491Total Passes372

408Accurate Passes290

83%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

Discipline

14Fouls11

0Yellow Cards2

1Offsides0

Match Recap: Reims vs Angers

Reims and Angers drew 2-2 in Ligue 1 on May 21, 2023.

Goals: J. Ito (10'), H. Šabanović (46'), F. Balogun (54'), H. Abdelli (60').

Reims controlled possession (57%) and registered 11 shots to 7.

The match was played at Stade Auguste-Delaune II in Reims.

Reims vs Angers — Ligue 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Reims vs Angers