Angers 2–4 Reims: Result & Stats | Ligue 1

Angers

FT

2 – 4

HT: 0 – 2

Reims

A. Hunou 67'

S. Boufal 59' (pen)

A. Flips 90'

F. Balogun 70' (pen)

J. Ito 45'

M. Munetsi 23'

8/31/2022

Ligue 1 · Round 5Stade Raymond-Kopa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Angers40%

×Draw25%

Reims35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

AngersExpected goals in this matchReims

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.36

Angers

1.48

Reims

1.36

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 30 home / 5 away

0.97

creates per match

1.23

1.50

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Angers

0.97

Reims

1.23

allows per match

Angers

1.50

Reims

2.00

+0.03on par

finishing

-0.43scores less than expected

finishing

Angers+0.03on par

Reims-0.43scores less

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Angers ↓

Reims →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Angers or draw

65%

Angers or Reims

75%

Draw or Reims

60%

Winning margin

Angers wins by 2+

19%

Reims wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Angers 1+ goals

77%

Angers 2+ goals

43%

Angers 3+ goals

19%

Reims 1+ goals

74%

Reims 2+ goals

39%

Reims 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Angers (draw refunded)

54%

Reims (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Angers at home — creates 0.97, concedes 1.50 · 30 matches

Reims away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Angers attack 0.97 + Reims defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.48

Reims attack 1.23 + Angers defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Angers scores more

40%

level

25%

Reims scores more

35%

Angers at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Angers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

S. Boufal

Angers · F

8.2

Match Events

23'

M. Munetsi↳ A. Zeneli

45'

J. Ito↳ J. Cajuste

46'

Marshall Munetsi

46'

S. Thioub← W. Taibi

46'

S. Boufal← H. Šabanović

58'

Maxime Busi

59'

S. BoufalPenalty

63'

F. Balogun← A. Zeneli

64'

Jens Cajuste

64'

A. Sima← A. Salama

64'

M. Adeline← K. Doumbia

65'

Jens Cajuste

65'

Jens Cajuste

67'

A. Hunou↳ S. Boufal

68'

A. Flips← J. Ito

70'

F. BalogunPenalty

78'

L. Diony← C. Hountondji

80'

85'

87'

89'

90'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AngersReims

Overview

59%Possession41%

10Total Shots11

4Corners3

9Fouls15

Shots

10Total Shots11

3On Target5

5Off Target4

2Blocked2

6Inside Box7

4Outside Box4

Passing

59%Possession41%

469Total Passes333

380Accurate Passes248

81%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

Discipline

9Fouls15

1Yellow Cards6

0Red Cards1

3Offsides4

Ligue 1: Angers 2–4 Reims

Reims beat Angers 4-2 in Ligue 1 on August 31, 2022.

Goals: M. Munetsi (23'), J. Ito (45'), S. Boufal (59' pen), A. Hunou (67'), F. Balogun (70' pen), A. Flips (90').

Angers controlled possession (59%) and registered 10 shots to 11.

The match was played at Stade Raymond-Kopa in Angers.

Angers vs Reims — Ligue 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Ligue 1: Angers 2–4 Reims