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Real Tamale vs Wa Power — Division One League 2025

Real Tamale
Real Tamale
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Wa Power
Wa Power
2/21/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 20Aliu Mahama sports stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Real Tamale59%
×Draw23%
Wa Power18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real Tamale
1.82
Wa Power
0.89

Real Tamale creates 104% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

creates per match

Real Tamale
2.07
Wa Power
1.14

allows per match

Real Tamale
0.64
Wa Power
1.57

finishing

Real Tamale+0.00on par
Wa Power+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Tamale ↓

Wa Power →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Real Tamale or draw
82%
Real Tamale or Wa Power
77%
Draw or Wa Power
41%

Winning margin

Real Tamale wins by 2+
34%
Wa Power wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Real Tamale 1+ goals
84%
Real Tamale 2+ goals
54%
Real Tamale 3+ goals
27%
Wa Power 1+ goals
59%
Wa Power 2+ goals
22%
Wa Power 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Real Tamale (draw refunded)
77%
Wa Power (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Tamale at home — creates 2.07, concedes 0.64 · 14 matches

Wa Power away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Tamale attack 2.07 + Wa Power defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.82

Wa Power attack 1.14 + Real Tamale defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Real Tamale scores more
59%
level
23%
Wa Power scores more
18%

Real Tamale at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Real Tamale will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Real Tamale 3–1 Wa Power

Real Tamale beat Wa Power 3-1 in Division One League on February 21, 2026.

The match was played at Aliu Mahama sports stadium in Tamale.