Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
69%
Over
31%
Under
Both Score
68%
Yes
32%
No
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
xG Profile (7 home / 5 away matches)
Real Madrid
xG 2.5 · xGA 1.5
-0.21 vs xG
Manchester City
xG 1.46 · xGA 1.69
-0.06 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Real Madrid vs Manchester City — UEFA Champions League 2026
UEFA Champions League·2026- Date
- Mar 11, 2026, 8:00 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · Round of 16
- Referee
- M. Mariani
- Venue
- Madrid
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53964%
- Under 2.52236%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Manchester City
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53862%
- Under 2.52338%
Both teams scored
- Yes3151%
- No3049%
Match Events
Head to Head
Arsenal
Bayern München
Liverpool
Tottenham
Barcelona
Chelsea
Sporting CP
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Inter
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
Juventus
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PSV Eindhoven
Athletic Club
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FC Copenhagen
Ajax
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Kairat AlmatyIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Real Madrid host Manchester City on Wednesday, 11 March 2026 at 20:00. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Real Madrid vs Manchester City
Real Madrid beat Manchester City 3-0 in UEFA Champions League on March 11, 2026.
Goals: F. Valverde (20', 27', 42').
Manchester City controlled possession (60%) and registered 8 shots to 12.