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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Real 51%Draw 21%27% Manchester
2.09Expected xG1.48

Over / Under 2.5

69%

Over

31%

Under

Both Score

68%

Yes

32%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-1

9%

1-1

9%

2-2

7%

xG Profile (7 home / 5 away matches)

Real Madrid

xG 2.5 · xGA 1.5

-0.21 vs xG

Manchester City

xG 1.46 · xGA 1.69

-0.06 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Real Madrid vs Manchester City — UEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 2
Manchester City
Manchester City
Rodrygo 28'
E. Haaland 43' (pen)
N. O'Reilly 35'
Date
Dec 10, 2025, 8:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 6
Referee
C. Turpin
Venue
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Real Madrid

Over / Under 2.5

64%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53964%
  • Under 2.52236%

Both teams scored

57%BTTS
  • Yes3557%
  • No2643%

Manchester City

Over / Under 2.5

62%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53862%
  • Under 2.52338%

Both teams scored

51%BTTS
  • Yes3151%
  • No3049%

Match Events

3'
Vinícius JúniorPenalty cancelled
11'
Phil Foden
28'
Rodrygo↳ J. Bellingham
35'
N. O'Reilly↳ J. Gvardiol
42'
Erling HaalandPenalty confirmed
43'
Antonio Rüdiger
43'
E. HaalandPenalty
58'
A. Guler← G. Garcia
67'
B. Diaz← D. Ceballos
70'
T. Reijnders← P. Foden
70'
O. Marmoush← E. Haaland
70'
Savinho← R. Cherki
76'
Nico O'Reilly
79'
Endrick← R. Asencio
87'
Rodrygo
88'
Álvaro Carreras
88'
N. Ake← J. Doku
90'
Bernardo Silva

Possession

52%Real

Shots

16Real

Pass accuracy

49%Real

Statistics

RealManchester
Overview
52%Possession48%
16Total Shots12
1.50Expected Goals (xG)2.60
3Corners3
14Fouls17
Shots
16Total Shots12
1On Target8
7Off Target0
8Blocked4
10Inside Box10
6Outside Box2
Passing
52%Possession48%
438Total Passes416
371Accurate Passes361
85%Pass Accuracy87%
Goalkeeping
6Saves0
-0.87Goals Prevented-0.87
Discipline
14Fouls17
3Yellow Cards3
0Offsides1

Real Madrid 1 – 2 Manchester City

Manchester City beat Real Madrid 2-1 in UEFA Champions League on December 10, 2025.

Goals: Rodrygo (28'), N. O'Reilly (35'), E. Haaland (43' pen).

Real Madrid controlled possession (52%) and registered 16 shots to 12.

The match was played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid.