Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
64%
Over
36%
Under
Both Score
64%
Yes
36%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10%
2-1
9%
1-2
7%
xG Profile (5 home / 7 away matches)
Manchester City
xG 1.92 · xGA 0.98
-0.12 vs xG
Real Madrid
xG 1.89 · xGA 1.76
+0.54 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Manchester City vs Real Madrid — UEFA Champions League 2026
UEFA Champions League·2026📍Etihad Stadium- Date
- Mar 17, 2026, 8:00 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · Round of 16
- Referee
- C. Turpin
- Venue
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Manchester City
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53862%
- Under 2.52338%
Both teams scored
- Yes3151%
- No3049%
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53964%
- Under 2.52236%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Match Events
Arsenal
Bayern München
Liverpool
Tottenham
Barcelona
Chelsea
Sporting CP
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Inter
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
Juventus
Atletico Madrid
Atalanta
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Olympiakos Piraeus
Club Brugge KV
Galatasaray
Monaco
Qarabag
Bodo/Glimt
Benfica
Marseille
Pafos
Union St. Gilloise
PSV Eindhoven
Athletic Club
Napoli
FC Copenhagen
Ajax
Eintracht Frankfurt
Slavia Praha
Villarreal
Kairat AlmatyIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Manchester City host Real Madrid on Tuesday, 17 March 2026 at 20:00. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
Manchester City 1 – 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid beat Manchester City 2-1 in UEFA Champions League on March 17, 2026.
Goals: Vinicius Junior (22' pen, 90'), E. Haaland (41').
Real Madrid controlled possession (53%) and registered 14 shots to 22.
The match was played at Etihad Stadium in Manchester.