RC Relizane 0–0 WA Tlemcen: Result & Stats

RC Relizane

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

WA Tlemcen

1/30/2021

Ligue 1 · Round 11Stade Tahar Zoughari

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 36+ matches

RC Relizane49%

×Draw26%

WA Tlemcen24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RC RelizaneExpected goals in this matchWA Tlemcen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.49

0.96

RC Relizane

1.49

WA Tlemcen

0.96

RC Relizane creates 55% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 36 away

1.11

creates per match

0.56

1.35

allows per match

1.86

creates per match

RC Relizane

1.11

WA Tlemcen

0.56

allows per match

RC Relizane

1.35

WA Tlemcen

1.86

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

RC Relizane+0.00on par

WA Tlemcen+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RC Relizane ↓

WA Tlemcen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

RC Relizane or draw

76%

RC Relizane or WA Tlemcen

74%

Draw or WA Tlemcen

51%

Winning margin

RC Relizane wins by 2+

25%

WA Tlemcen wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

RC Relizane 1+ goals

77%

RC Relizane 2+ goals

44%

RC Relizane 3+ goals

19%

WA Tlemcen 1+ goals

62%

WA Tlemcen 2+ goals

25%

WA Tlemcen 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

RC Relizane (draw refunded)

67%

WA Tlemcen (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RC Relizane at home — creates 1.11, concedes 1.35 · 37 matches

WA Tlemcen away — creates 0.56, concedes 1.86 · 36 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RC Relizane attack 1.11 + WA Tlemcen defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.49

WA Tlemcen attack 0.56 + RC Relizane defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

RC Relizane scores more

49%

level

26%

WA Tlemcen scores more

24%

RC Relizane at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "RC Relizane will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

N. Ould Hamou← Y. Koulkheir

45'

C. Lakehal← S. Mebarki

63'

R. Hitala← A. Barkat

63'

A. Amiri← M. Aichi

71'

A. Balegh← M. Kadri

80'

I. Benachour← D. Belalem

RC

WA

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: S. Cherif El Ouazani

23'▲N. Ould Hamou←▼Y. Koulkheir

63'▲R. Hitala←▼A. Barkat

71'▲A. Balegh←▼M. Kadri

RC Relizane substitutes

HamouHitalaBalegh

Manager: A. Abbès

45'▲C. Lakehal←▼S. Mebarki

63'▲A. Amiri←▼M. Aichi

80'▲I. Benachour←▼D. Belalem

WA Tlemcen substitutes

LakehalAmiriBenachour

Ligue 1: RC Relizane 0–0 WA Tlemcen

RC Relizane and WA Tlemcen drew 0-0 in Ligue 1 on January 30, 2021.

The match was played at Stade Tahar Zoughari in Relizane.

RC Relizane vs WA Tlemcen — Ligue 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Ligue 1: RC Relizane 0–0 WA Tlemcen