Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Raja Beni Mellal vs Difaa EL Jadida — Botola Pro 2025

Raja Beni Mellal
Raja Beni Mellal
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Difaa EL Jadida
Difaa EL Jadida
9/8/2020Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 22Stade Municipal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Raja Beni Mellal32%
×Draw29%
Difaa EL Jadida39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Raja Beni Mellal
1.04
Difaa EL Jadida
1.19

Difaa EL Jadida creates 14% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 105 away

creates per match

Raja Beni Mellal
0.56
Difaa EL Jadida
1.00

allows per match

Raja Beni Mellal
1.38
Difaa EL Jadida
1.51

finishing

Raja Beni Mellal+0.00on par
Difaa EL Jadida+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Raja Beni Mellal ↓

Difaa EL Jadida →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–113%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Raja Beni Mellal or draw
61%
Raja Beni Mellal or Difaa EL Jadida
71%
Draw or Difaa EL Jadida
68%

Winning margin

Raja Beni Mellal wins by 2+
12%
Difaa EL Jadida wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Raja Beni Mellal 1+ goals
65%
Raja Beni Mellal 2+ goals
28%
Raja Beni Mellal 3+ goals
9%
Difaa EL Jadida 1+ goals
70%
Difaa EL Jadida 2+ goals
33%
Difaa EL Jadida 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Raja Beni Mellal (draw refunded)
45%
Difaa EL Jadida (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Raja Beni Mellal at home — creates 0.56, concedes 1.38 · 16 matches

Difaa EL Jadida away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.51 · 105 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Raja Beni Mellal attack 0.56 + Difaa EL Jadida defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.04

Difaa EL Jadida attack 1.00 + Raja Beni Mellal defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Raja Beni Mellal scores more
32%
level
29%
Difaa EL Jadida scores more
39%

Difaa EL Jadida at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Difaa EL Jadida will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Raja Beni Mellal vs Difaa EL Jadida

Raja Beni Mellal and Difaa EL Jadida drew 0-0 in Botola Pro on September 8, 2020.

The match was played at Stade Municipal in Oued Zem.