Scoreo

Pyramids FC vs PetrojetLeague Cup 2021

Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC
FT
07
HT: 05
Petrojet
Petrojet
S. Sonko 90', 87', 41', 32', 24', 21'
M. El Badry 45' (pen)
1/15/2026League CupLeague Cup · Group Stage - 730 June Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Pyramids FC17%
×Draw18%
Petrojet65%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Pyramids FC
1.17
Petrojet
2.44

Petrojet creates 109% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 7 away

creates per match

Pyramids FC
1.33
Petrojet
2.43

allows per match

Pyramids FC
2.44
Petrojet
1.00

finishing

Pyramids FC+0.00on par
Petrojet+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pyramids FC

Petrojet
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
017%
028%
037%
044%
1
103%
118%
1210%
138%
145%
2
202%
215%
226%
235%
243%
3
301%
312%
322%
332%
341%
4
400%
411%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
70%30%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Pyramids FC or draw
35%
Pyramids FC or Petrojet
82%
Draw or Petrojet
83%

Winning margin

Pyramids FC wins by 2+
6%
Petrojet wins by 2+
43%

Team goals

Pyramids FC 1+ goals
69%
Pyramids FC 2+ goals
33%
Pyramids FC 3+ goals
11%
Petrojet 1+ goals
91%
Petrojet 2+ goals
70%
Petrojet 3+ goals
43%

Draw no bet

Pyramids FC (draw refunded)
21%
Petrojet (draw refunded)
79%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pyramids FC at homecreates 1.33, concedes 2.44 · 9 matches

Petrojet awaycreates 2.43, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pyramids FC attack 1.33 + Petrojet defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.17

Petrojet attack 2.43 + Pyramids FC defence 2.44 → ÷2 → 2.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Pyramids FC scores more
17%
level
18%
Petrojet scores more
65%

Petrojet at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Petrojet will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Pyramids
Petrojet
55'A. ShedO. Abdelazim
65'M. YousiefZ. Shaker
65'Y. AliY. Shika
84'O. TarekA. Hamouda
84'H. KarimA. Fekry

Pyramids FC substitutes

Sayed Eid
Manager: Sayed Eid
46'A. BahA. Diabate
46'M. KhalifaO. Salah
60'I. AbdallahB. Haggag
68'A. HelmyM. Ibrahim
74'A. YassinM. El Badry

Petrojet substitutes

League Cup: Pyramids FC 0–7 Petrojet

Petrojet beat Pyramids FC 7-0 in League Cup on January 15, 2026.

Goals: S. Sonko (21', 24', 32', 41', 87', 90'), M. El Badry (45' pen).

The match was played at 30 June Stadium in Cairo.