Petrojet 2–2 Pyramids FC: Result & Stats

Petrojet

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Pyramids FC

A. Hamed 69' (pen)

M. Ibrahim 41'

M. Ziko 49', 39'

12/6/2025

Premier League · Round 10Petrosport Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

Petrojet26%

×Draw28%

Pyramids FC46%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PetrojetExpected goals in this matchPyramids FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.91

1.33

Petrojet

0.91

Pyramids FC

1.33

Pyramids FC creates 46% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 129 away

0.87

creates per match

1.61

1.04

allows per match

0.94

creates per match

Petrojet

0.87

Pyramids FC

1.61

allows per match

Petrojet

1.04

Pyramids FC

0.94

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Petrojet+0.00on par

Pyramids FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petrojet ↓

Pyramids FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–114%

0–29%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Petrojet or draw

54%

Petrojet or Pyramids FC

72%

Draw or Pyramids FC

74%

Winning margin

Petrojet wins by 2+

9%

Pyramids FC wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Petrojet 1+ goals

60%

Petrojet 2+ goals

23%

Petrojet 3+ goals

6%

Pyramids FC 1+ goals

74%

Pyramids FC 2+ goals

38%

Pyramids FC 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Petrojet (draw refunded)

36%

Pyramids FC (draw refunded)

64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petrojet at home — creates 0.87, concedes 1.04 · 47 matches

Pyramids FC away — creates 1.61, concedes 0.94 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petrojet attack 0.87 + Pyramids FC defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.91

Pyramids FC attack 1.61 + Petrojet defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Petrojet scores more

26%

level

28%

Pyramids FC scores more

46%

Pyramids FC at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Pyramids FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30

M. Ziko

Pyramids FC · M

8.9

Match Events

18'

Mohamed Chibi

39'

M. Ziko↳ M. Chibi

41'

M. Ibrahim↳ B. Moussa

49'

M. Ziko↳ M. Hamdi

53'

A. Diabate← B. Moussa

53'

S. Mohamed← M. Ibrahim

63'

Tawfik Mohamed

64'

Ahmed Samy

66'

Barakat HaggagPenalty confirmed

68'

A. Ghoneim← M. El Gamal

68'

A. Bah← M. Kenawi

69'

A. HamedPenalty

78'

83'

85'

87'

90+6'

90+3'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PetrojetPyramids

Overview

36%Possession64%

7Total Shots19

2Corners11

12Fouls8

Shots

7Total Shots19

2On Target8

3Off Target10

2Blocked1

3Inside Box13

4Outside Box6

Passing

36%Possession64%

251Total Passes431

148Accurate Passes319

59%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

6Saves0

Discipline

12Fouls8

5Yellow Cards2

3Offsides6