Petrojet 0–2 Pyramids FC: Result & Stats

Petrojet

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Pyramids FC

Marwan Hamdy 62', 55'

5/17/2025

Premier League · Championship Round - 7Petrosport Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

Petrojet26%

×Draw28%

Pyramids FC46%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PetrojetExpected goals in this matchPyramids FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.91

1.33

Petrojet

0.91

Pyramids FC

1.33

Pyramids FC creates 46% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 129 away

0.87

creates per match

1.61

1.04

allows per match

0.94

creates per match

Petrojet

0.87

Pyramids FC

1.61

allows per match

Petrojet

1.04

Pyramids FC

0.94

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Petrojet+0.00on par

Pyramids FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petrojet ↓

Pyramids FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–114%

0–29%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Petrojet or draw

54%

Petrojet or Pyramids FC

72%

Draw or Pyramids FC

74%

Winning margin

Petrojet wins by 2+

9%

Pyramids FC wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Petrojet 1+ goals

60%

Petrojet 2+ goals

23%

Petrojet 3+ goals

6%

Pyramids FC 1+ goals

74%

Pyramids FC 2+ goals

38%

Pyramids FC 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Petrojet (draw refunded)

36%

Pyramids FC (draw refunded)

64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Petrojet at home — creates 0.87, concedes 1.04 · 47 matches

Pyramids FC away — creates 1.61, concedes 0.94 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Petrojet attack 0.87 + Pyramids FC defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.91

Pyramids FC attack 1.61 + Petrojet defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Petrojet scores more

26%

level

28%

Pyramids FC scores more

46%

Pyramids FC at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Pyramids FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19

Marwan Hamdy

Pyramids FC · F

8.2

Match Events

26'

Badr MoussaGoal cancelled

55'

Marwan Hamdy↳ Mohamed Hamdy

57'

Marwan Hamdy

62'

Gabriel Chukwudi

62'

Marwan Hamdy

64'

Ahmed Farouk← Adham Hamed

64'

Islam Abdallah← Khaled Abo Ziada

70'

Abdelaziz El Sayed Zizo← Badr Moussa

70'

L. Emmanuel← G. Chukwudi

81'

S. Ougola← Ahmed Atef

81'

Ali Gabr← Abdel Rahman Magdi

83'

Islam Hesham← Rashad Metwally

88'

Mahmoud Abdul Aati Donga← B. Touré

88'

Karim Hafez← Ibrahim Adel

90+4'

Mohamed El Gabbas← Marwan Hamdy

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PetrojetPyramids

Overview

40%Possession60%

10Total Shots12

4Corners4

12Fouls18

Shots

10Total Shots12

5On Target5

5Off Target4

0Blocked3

7Inside Box6

3Outside Box6

Passing

40%Possession60%

279Total Passes422

155Accurate Passes287

56%Pass Accuracy68%

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

Discipline

12Fouls18

1Yellow Cards1

2Offsides2