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Puszcza Niepołomice vs Odra Opole — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Puszcza Niepołomice
Puszcza Niepołomice
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
1/19/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Czarni Staniątki

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Puszcza Niepołomice48%
×Draw24%
Odra Opole28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Puszcza Niepołomice
1.69
Odra Opole
1.23

Puszcza Niepołomice creates 37% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 8 away

creates per match

Puszcza Niepołomice
1.87
Odra Opole
1.13

allows per match

Puszcza Niepołomice
1.33
Odra Opole
1.50

finishing

Puszcza Niepołomice+0.00on par
Odra Opole+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Puszcza Niepołomice ↓

Odra Opole →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Puszcza Niepołomice or draw
72%
Puszcza Niepołomice or Odra Opole
76%
Draw or Odra Opole
52%

Winning margin

Puszcza Niepołomice wins by 2+
26%
Odra Opole wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Puszcza Niepołomice 1+ goals
82%
Puszcza Niepołomice 2+ goals
50%
Puszcza Niepołomice 3+ goals
24%
Odra Opole 1+ goals
71%
Odra Opole 2+ goals
35%
Odra Opole 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Puszcza Niepołomice (draw refunded)
63%
Odra Opole (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Puszcza Niepołomice at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.33 · 15 matches

Odra Opole away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Puszcza Niepołomice attack 1.87 + Odra Opole defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.69

Odra Opole attack 1.13 + Puszcza Niepołomice defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Puszcza Niepołomice scores more
48%
level
24%
Odra Opole scores more
28%

Puszcza Niepołomice at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Puszcza Niepołomice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Odra Opole

Puszcza Niepołomice beat Odra Opole 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 19, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Czarni Staniątki in Staniątki.