Platense 0–0 Talleres Cordoba: Result & Stats

Platense

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Talleres Cordoba

8/23/2022

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 15Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 19+ matches

Platense44%

×Draw30%

Talleres Cordoba26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PlatenseExpected goals in this matchTalleres Cordoba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.16

0.82

Platense

1.16

Talleres Cordoba

0.82

Platense creates 41% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 19 away

1.01

creates per match

0.96

0.68

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

Platense

1.01

Talleres Cordoba

0.96

allows per match

Platense

0.68

Talleres Cordoba

1.30

-0.36scores less than expected

finishing

-0.01on par

finishing

Platense-0.36scores less

Talleres Cordoba-0.01on par

Total goals

Under68
Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Platense ↓

Talleres Cordoba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–111%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

59%41%2.5

32%68%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Platense or draw

74%

Platense or Talleres Cordoba

70%

Draw or Talleres Cordoba

56%

Winning margin

Platense wins by 2+

19%

Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Platense 1+ goals

69%

Platense 2+ goals

32%

Platense 3+ goals

11%

Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals

56%

Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals

20%

Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Platense (draw refunded)

63%

Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

25%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Platense at home — creates 1.01, concedes 0.68 · 20 matches

Talleres Cordoba away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.30 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Platense attack 1.01 + Talleres Cordoba defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.16

Talleres Cordoba attack 0.96 + Platense defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Platense scores more

44%

level

30%

Talleres Cordoba scores more

26%

Platense at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Platense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

A. Aguerre

Talleres Cordoba · G

7.9

Match Events

23'

F. Gino

25'

M. Godoy← M. Santos

66'

V. Taborda← A. Sabella

66'

H. Tijanovich← F. Gino

75'

D. Ortegoza← A. Franco

75'

G. Benavídez← F. Pizzini

78'

R. Contreras← M. Zárate

82'

J. Esquivel← I. Schor

86'

J. Malatini← R. Pérez

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PlatenseTalleres

Overview

36%Possession64%

15Total Shots15

4Corners4

10Fouls11

Shots

15Total Shots15

4On Target2

6Off Target7

5Blocked6

9Inside Box8

6Outside Box7

Passing

36%Possession64%

288Total Passes546

197Accurate Passes446

68%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

10Fouls11

1Yellow Cards0

2Offsides0