Platense vs Colon Santa Fe — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 80+ matches
Platense40%
Colon Santa Fe30%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Platense creates 22% more chances
Season form · 91 home / 80 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under65
- Over35
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No58
- Yes42
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Platense ↓
Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Platense at home — creates 0.91, concedes 0.95 · 91 matches
Colon Santa Fe away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.39 · 80 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Platense attack 0.91 + Colon Santa Fe defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.15
Colon Santa Fe attack 0.94 + Platense defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 0.94
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 40%?"
Platense at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 40% does not mean "Platense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Player of the match
Match Events
Head to Head
4 previous meetings · small sample
Estudiantes L.P.
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Lanus
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
Racing Club
Barracas Central
Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
Banfield
Atletico Tucuman
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoNewells Old BoysLanusVelez SarsfieldSan LorenzoIndependienteEstudiantes L.P.Boca JuniorsUnion Santa FeTalleres CordobaDefensa Y JusticiaInstituto CordobaPlatenseDeportivo RiestraCentral Cordoba de SantiagoGimnasia M.Rosario CentralTigreArgentinos JRSBanfieldGimnasia L.P.Racing ClubHuracanRiver PlateBelgrano CordobaAldosiviAtletico TucumanIndepend. RivadaviaSarmiento JuninBarracas CentralEstudiantes de Rio CuartoIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Platense host Colon Santa Fe on Monday, 17 April 2023 at 19:30. The match is part of the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Platense vs Colon Santa Fe
Platense and Colon Santa Fe drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on April 17, 2023.
Colon Santa Fe controlled possession (56%) and registered 8 shots to 10.
The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López in Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires.