Colon Santa Fe 3–0 Platense: Result & Stats

Colon Santa Fe

FT

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Platense

R. Aliendro 90+2'

C. Bernardi 64'

E. Meza 45+3'

11/6/2021

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 20Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Colon Santa Fe40%

×Draw29%

Platense31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Colon Santa FeExpected goals in this matchPlatense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

1.02

Colon Santa Fe

1.19

Platense

1.02

Colon Santa Fe creates 17% more chances

Season form · 84 home / 93 away

1.14

creates per match

0.90

1.15

allows per match

1.24

creates per match

Colon Santa Fe

1.14

Platense

0.90

allows per match

Colon Santa Fe

1.15

Platense

1.24

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Colon Santa Fe+0.00on par

Platense+0.00on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Colon Santa Fe ↓

Platense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Colon Santa Fe or draw

69%

Colon Santa Fe or Platense

71%

Draw or Platense

60%

Winning margin

Colon Santa Fe wins by 2+

17%

Platense wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Colon Santa Fe 1+ goals

70%

Colon Santa Fe 2+ goals

33%

Colon Santa Fe 3+ goals

12%

Platense 1+ goals

64%

Platense 2+ goals

27%

Platense 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Colon Santa Fe (draw refunded)

56%

Platense (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Colon Santa Fe at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.15 · 84 matches

Platense away — creates 0.90, concedes 1.24 · 93 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Colon Santa Fe attack 1.14 + Platense defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.19

Platense attack 0.90 + Colon Santa Fe defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Colon Santa Fe scores more

40%

level

29%

Platense scores more

31%

Colon Santa Fe at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Colon Santa Fe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

29

R. Aliendro

Colon Santa Fe · M

8.2

Match Events

25'

38'

45+4'

45+3'

46'

S. Callegari← F. Russo

55'

C. Ferreira← F. Garcés

58'

N. Gallardo← R. Delgado

59'

F. Mura← E. Meza

64'

C. Bernardi↳ L. Beltrán

68'

Facundo Farías

68'

Mauro Bogado

69'

F. Baldassarra← M. Bogado

69'

T. Sandoval← B. Mansilla

79'

A. Castro← F. Farías

80'

F. Curuchet← M. Tissera

80'

P. Gerzel← R. Bochi

90+2'

R. Aliendro↳ C. Ferreira

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ColonPlatense

Overview

60%Possession40%

16Total Shots9

3Corners1

7Fouls6

Shots

16Total Shots9

7On Target2

6Off Target4

3Blocked3

8Inside Box4

8Outside Box5

Passing

60%Possession40%

538Total Passes362

438Accurate Passes273

81%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

7Fouls6

2Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards1

3Offsides2

Liga Profesional Argentina: Colon Santa Fe 3–0 Platense

Colon Santa Fe beat Platense 3-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on November 6, 2021.

Goals: E. Meza (45+3'), C. Bernardi (64'), R. Aliendro (90+2').

Colon Santa Fe controlled possession (60%) and registered 16 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López in Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe.

Colon Santa Fe vs Platense — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina: Colon Santa Fe 3–0 Platense