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Peterborough vs Huddersfield — League One 2025

Peterborough
Peterborough
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
B. Wiles 45+1'
A. Evans 36'
8/10/2024League OneLeague One · Round 1Weston Homes Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Peterborough45%
×Draw24%
Huddersfield31%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Peterborough
1.71
Huddersfield
1.38

Peterborough creates 24% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 24 away

creates per match

Peterborough
1.87
Huddersfield
1.42

allows per match

Peterborough
1.33
Huddersfield
1.54

finishing

Peterborough+0.00on par
Huddersfield+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Peterborough ↓

Huddersfield →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Peterborough or draw
69%
Peterborough or Huddersfield
76%
Draw or Huddersfield
55%

Winning margin

Peterborough wins by 2+
24%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Peterborough 1+ goals
82%
Peterborough 2+ goals
51%
Peterborough 3+ goals
24%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
75%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
40%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Peterborough (draw refunded)
59%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Peterborough at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.33 · 45 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.42, concedes 1.54 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Peterborough attack 1.87 + Huddersfield defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.71

Huddersfield attack 1.42 + Peterborough defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Peterborough scores more
45%
level
24%
Huddersfield scores more
31%

Peterborough at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Peterborough will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

8
B. WilesHuddersfieldHuddersfield · M
7.7

Match Events

36'
A. Evans↳ B. Wiles
45+1'
B. Wiles
54'
M. Mothersille← C. Conn-Clarke
59'
D. Ajiboye← S. Curtis
66'
D. O'Brien-Brady← Mahamadou Susoho
66'
C. Hayes← K. Poku
71'
Mickel Miller
73'
Archie Collins
78'
H. Kane← A. Evans
78'
D. Ward← J. Koroma
78'
J. Headley← M. Miller
82'
D. Kasumu← J. Hogg
90+3'
K. Harratt← R. Healey

Possession

54%Peterborough

Shots

8Peterborough

Pass accuracy

52%Peterborough

Statistics

PeterboroughHuddersfield
Overview
54%Possession46%
8Total Shots17
3Corners10
7Fouls17
Shots
8Total Shots17
2On Target5
4Off Target5
2Blocked7
6Inside Box8
2Outside Box9
Passing
54%Possession46%
461Total Passes375
376Accurate Passes289
82%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
Discipline
7Fouls17
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides5

Match Recap: Peterborough vs Huddersfield

Huddersfield beat Peterborough 2-0 in League One on August 10, 2024.

Goals: A. Evans (36'), B. Wiles (45+1').

Peterborough controlled possession (54%) and registered 8 shots to 17.

The match was played at Weston Homes Stadium in Peterborough.