Huddersfield 3–0 Peterborough: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

3 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Peterborough

T. Lees 72', 7'

D. Sinani 3'

3/4/2022

Championship · Round 36John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Huddersfield57%

×Draw24%

Peterborough19%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchPeterborough

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.68

0.85

Huddersfield

1.68

Peterborough

0.85

Huddersfield creates 98% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 5 away

0.75

creates per match

0.20

1.50

allows per match

2.60

creates per match

Huddersfield

0.75

Peterborough

0.20

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.50

Peterborough

2.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par

Peterborough+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Peterborough →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–111%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

81%

Huddersfield or Peterborough

76%

Draw or Peterborough

43%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

31%

Peterborough wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

81%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

50%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

24%

Peterborough 1+ goals

57%

Peterborough 2+ goals

21%

Peterborough 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

75%

Peterborough (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 0.75, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Peterborough away — creates 0.20, concedes 2.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 0.75 + Peterborough defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 1.68

Peterborough attack 0.20 + Huddersfield defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Huddersfield scores more

57%

level

24%

Peterborough scores more

19%

Huddersfield at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

32

T. Lees

Huddersfield · D

9.7

Match Events

3'

7'

26'

28'

46'

J. Marriott← J. Grant

60'

C. Eiting← D. Sinani

68'

J. Clarke-Harris← R. Jones

71'

F. Anjorin← D. Holmes

72'

T. Lees↳ H. Toffolo

77'

J. Rhodes← L. OBrien

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldPeterborough

Overview

59%Possession41%

16Total Shots10

4Corners4

9Fouls7

Shots

16Total Shots10

7On Target1

4Off Target4

5Blocked5

9Inside Box3

7Outside Box7

Passing

59%Possession41%

616Total Passes425

523Accurate Passes334

85%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

9Fouls7

0Yellow Cards1

0Offsides2